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Do We Know What We Enjoy? Accuracy of Forecasted Eating Happiness

Forecasting how we will react in the future is important in every area of our lives. However, people often demonstrate an “impact bias” which leads them to inaccurately forecast their affective reactions to distinct and outstanding future events. The present study examined forecasting accuracy for a...

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Autores principales: Villinger, Karoline, Wahl, Deborah R., König, Laura M., Ziesemer, Katrin, Butscher, Simon, Müller, Jens, Reiterer, Harald, Schupp, Harald T., Renner, Britta
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7311650/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32625135
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.01187
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author Villinger, Karoline
Wahl, Deborah R.
König, Laura M.
Ziesemer, Katrin
Butscher, Simon
Müller, Jens
Reiterer, Harald
Schupp, Harald T.
Renner, Britta
author_facet Villinger, Karoline
Wahl, Deborah R.
König, Laura M.
Ziesemer, Katrin
Butscher, Simon
Müller, Jens
Reiterer, Harald
Schupp, Harald T.
Renner, Britta
author_sort Villinger, Karoline
collection PubMed
description Forecasting how we will react in the future is important in every area of our lives. However, people often demonstrate an “impact bias” which leads them to inaccurately forecast their affective reactions to distinct and outstanding future events. The present study examined forecasting accuracy for a day-to-day repetitive experience for which people have a wealth of past experiences (eating happiness), along with dispositional expectations toward eating (“foodiness”). Seventy-three participants (67.12% women, M (age) = 41.85 years) used a smartphone-based ecological momentary assessment to assess their food intake and eating happiness over 14 days. Eating happiness experienced in-the-moment showed considerable inter-and intra-individual variation, ICC = 0.47. Comparing forecasted and in-the-moment eating happiness revealed a significant discrepancy whose magnitude was affected by dispositional expectations and the variability of the experience. The results demonstrate that biased forecasts are a general phenomenon prevalent both in outstanding and well-known experiences, while also emphasizing the importance of inter-individual differences for a detailed understanding of affective forecasting.
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spelling pubmed-73116502020-07-02 Do We Know What We Enjoy? Accuracy of Forecasted Eating Happiness Villinger, Karoline Wahl, Deborah R. König, Laura M. Ziesemer, Katrin Butscher, Simon Müller, Jens Reiterer, Harald Schupp, Harald T. Renner, Britta Front Psychol Psychology Forecasting how we will react in the future is important in every area of our lives. However, people often demonstrate an “impact bias” which leads them to inaccurately forecast their affective reactions to distinct and outstanding future events. The present study examined forecasting accuracy for a day-to-day repetitive experience for which people have a wealth of past experiences (eating happiness), along with dispositional expectations toward eating (“foodiness”). Seventy-three participants (67.12% women, M (age) = 41.85 years) used a smartphone-based ecological momentary assessment to assess their food intake and eating happiness over 14 days. Eating happiness experienced in-the-moment showed considerable inter-and intra-individual variation, ICC = 0.47. Comparing forecasted and in-the-moment eating happiness revealed a significant discrepancy whose magnitude was affected by dispositional expectations and the variability of the experience. The results demonstrate that biased forecasts are a general phenomenon prevalent both in outstanding and well-known experiences, while also emphasizing the importance of inter-individual differences for a detailed understanding of affective forecasting. Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-06-17 /pmc/articles/PMC7311650/ /pubmed/32625135 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.01187 Text en Copyright © 2020 Villinger, Wahl, König, Ziesemer, Butscher, Müller, Reiterer, Schupp and Renner. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
spellingShingle Psychology
Villinger, Karoline
Wahl, Deborah R.
König, Laura M.
Ziesemer, Katrin
Butscher, Simon
Müller, Jens
Reiterer, Harald
Schupp, Harald T.
Renner, Britta
Do We Know What We Enjoy? Accuracy of Forecasted Eating Happiness
title Do We Know What We Enjoy? Accuracy of Forecasted Eating Happiness
title_full Do We Know What We Enjoy? Accuracy of Forecasted Eating Happiness
title_fullStr Do We Know What We Enjoy? Accuracy of Forecasted Eating Happiness
title_full_unstemmed Do We Know What We Enjoy? Accuracy of Forecasted Eating Happiness
title_short Do We Know What We Enjoy? Accuracy of Forecasted Eating Happiness
title_sort do we know what we enjoy? accuracy of forecasted eating happiness
topic Psychology
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7311650/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32625135
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.01187
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