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Violation of lockdown norms and peaks in daily number of positive cases to COVID-19 in Italy

Italy has been the first Western Country to suffer a massive outbreak of COVID-19. Starting from the 11 (st) of March 2020, the Italian Government approved a series of emergency restrictive measures to limit people’s movement and social contacts. The aim of this short paper is to test if the number...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Ruiu, Gabriele, Ruiu, Maria Laura
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: F1000 Research Limited 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7313553/
http://dx.doi.org/10.35241/emeraldopenres.13699.1
Descripción
Sumario:Italy has been the first Western Country to suffer a massive outbreak of COVID-19. Starting from the 11 (st) of March 2020, the Italian Government approved a series of emergency restrictive measures to limit people’s movement and social contacts. The aim of this short paper is to test if the number of norm-violations (related to people’s movement) might contribute to the peaks of new COVID-19 positives after few days. We show that peaks in the violations of the lockdown norms correspond to peaks in new positive cases about 6 days later.