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Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19
The recent worldwide outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) opened new challenges for the research community. Machine learning (ML)-guided methods can be useful for feature prediction, involved risk, and the causes of an analogous epidemic. Such predictions can be useful for manag...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier Ltd.
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7315984/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32834609 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110056 |
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author | Kavadi, Durga Prasad Patan, Rizwan Ramachandran, Manikandan Gandomi, Amir H. |
author_facet | Kavadi, Durga Prasad Patan, Rizwan Ramachandran, Manikandan Gandomi, Amir H. |
author_sort | Kavadi, Durga Prasad |
collection | PubMed |
description | The recent worldwide outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) opened new challenges for the research community. Machine learning (ML)-guided methods can be useful for feature prediction, involved risk, and the causes of an analogous epidemic. Such predictions can be useful for managing and intercepting the outbreak of such diseases. The foremost advantages of applying ML methods are handling a wide variety of data and easy identification of trends and patterns of an undetermined nature.In this study, we propose a partial derivative regression and nonlinear machine learning (PDR-NML) method for global pandemic prediction of COVID-19. We used a Progressive Partial Derivative Linear Regression model to search for the best parameters in the dataset in a computationally efficient manner. Next, a Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning model was applied to the normalized features for making accurate predictions. The results show that the proposed ML method outperformed state-of-the-art methods in the Indian population and can also be a convenient tool for making predictions for other countries. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7315984 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | Elsevier Ltd. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-73159842020-06-25 Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19 Kavadi, Durga Prasad Patan, Rizwan Ramachandran, Manikandan Gandomi, Amir H. Chaos Solitons Fractals Article The recent worldwide outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) opened new challenges for the research community. Machine learning (ML)-guided methods can be useful for feature prediction, involved risk, and the causes of an analogous epidemic. Such predictions can be useful for managing and intercepting the outbreak of such diseases. The foremost advantages of applying ML methods are handling a wide variety of data and easy identification of trends and patterns of an undetermined nature.In this study, we propose a partial derivative regression and nonlinear machine learning (PDR-NML) method for global pandemic prediction of COVID-19. We used a Progressive Partial Derivative Linear Regression model to search for the best parameters in the dataset in a computationally efficient manner. Next, a Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning model was applied to the normalized features for making accurate predictions. The results show that the proposed ML method outperformed state-of-the-art methods in the Indian population and can also be a convenient tool for making predictions for other countries. Elsevier Ltd. 2020-10 2020-06-25 /pmc/articles/PMC7315984/ /pubmed/32834609 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110056 Text en © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Kavadi, Durga Prasad Patan, Rizwan Ramachandran, Manikandan Gandomi, Amir H. Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19 |
title | Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19 |
title_full | Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19 |
title_fullStr | Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19 |
title_full_unstemmed | Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19 |
title_short | Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19 |
title_sort | partial derivative nonlinear global pandemic machine learning prediction of covid 19 |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7315984/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32834609 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110056 |
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