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Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19

The recent worldwide outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) opened new challenges for the research community. Machine learning (ML)-guided methods can be useful for feature prediction, involved risk, and the causes of an analogous epidemic. Such predictions can be useful for manag...

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Autores principales: Kavadi, Durga Prasad, Patan, Rizwan, Ramachandran, Manikandan, Gandomi, Amir H.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7315984/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32834609
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110056
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author Kavadi, Durga Prasad
Patan, Rizwan
Ramachandran, Manikandan
Gandomi, Amir H.
author_facet Kavadi, Durga Prasad
Patan, Rizwan
Ramachandran, Manikandan
Gandomi, Amir H.
author_sort Kavadi, Durga Prasad
collection PubMed
description The recent worldwide outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) opened new challenges for the research community. Machine learning (ML)-guided methods can be useful for feature prediction, involved risk, and the causes of an analogous epidemic. Such predictions can be useful for managing and intercepting the outbreak of such diseases. The foremost advantages of applying ML methods are handling a wide variety of data and easy identification of trends and patterns of an undetermined nature.In this study, we propose a partial derivative regression and nonlinear machine learning (PDR-NML) method for global pandemic prediction of COVID-19. We used a Progressive Partial Derivative Linear Regression model to search for the best parameters in the dataset in a computationally efficient manner. Next, a Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning model was applied to the normalized features for making accurate predictions. The results show that the proposed ML method outperformed state-of-the-art methods in the Indian population and can also be a convenient tool for making predictions for other countries.
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spelling pubmed-73159842020-06-25 Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19 Kavadi, Durga Prasad Patan, Rizwan Ramachandran, Manikandan Gandomi, Amir H. Chaos Solitons Fractals Article The recent worldwide outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) opened new challenges for the research community. Machine learning (ML)-guided methods can be useful for feature prediction, involved risk, and the causes of an analogous epidemic. Such predictions can be useful for managing and intercepting the outbreak of such diseases. The foremost advantages of applying ML methods are handling a wide variety of data and easy identification of trends and patterns of an undetermined nature.In this study, we propose a partial derivative regression and nonlinear machine learning (PDR-NML) method for global pandemic prediction of COVID-19. We used a Progressive Partial Derivative Linear Regression model to search for the best parameters in the dataset in a computationally efficient manner. Next, a Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning model was applied to the normalized features for making accurate predictions. The results show that the proposed ML method outperformed state-of-the-art methods in the Indian population and can also be a convenient tool for making predictions for other countries. Elsevier Ltd. 2020-10 2020-06-25 /pmc/articles/PMC7315984/ /pubmed/32834609 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110056 Text en © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Kavadi, Durga Prasad
Patan, Rizwan
Ramachandran, Manikandan
Gandomi, Amir H.
Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19
title Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19
title_full Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19
title_fullStr Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19
title_full_unstemmed Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19
title_short Partial derivative Nonlinear Global Pandemic Machine Learning prediction of COVID 19
title_sort partial derivative nonlinear global pandemic machine learning prediction of covid 19
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7315984/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32834609
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110056
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