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Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health
The undefendable outbreak of novel coronavirus (SARS-COV-2) lead to a global health emergency due to its higher transmission rate and longer symptomatic duration, created a health surge in a short time. Since Nov 2019 the outbreak in China, the virus is spreading exponentially everywhere. The curren...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. Publishing Services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co. Ltd.
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7321777/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jnlssr.2020.06.004 |
_version_ | 1783551548064792576 |
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author | Sil, Arjun Kumar, Vanapalli Naveen |
author_facet | Sil, Arjun Kumar, Vanapalli Naveen |
author_sort | Sil, Arjun |
collection | PubMed |
description | The undefendable outbreak of novel coronavirus (SARS-COV-2) lead to a global health emergency due to its higher transmission rate and longer symptomatic duration, created a health surge in a short time. Since Nov 2019 the outbreak in China, the virus is spreading exponentially everywhere. The current study focuses on the relationship between environmental parameters and the growth rate of COVID-19. The statistical analysis suggests that the temperature changes retarded the growth rate and found that -6.28 °C and +14.51 °C temperature is the favorable range for COVID-19 growth. Gutenberg- Richter's relationship is used to estimate the mean daily rate of exceedance of confirmed cases concerning the change in temperature. Indeed, temperature is the most influential parameter that reduces the growth at the rate of 13–17 cases/day with a 1 °C rise in temperature. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7321777 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. Publishing Services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co. Ltd. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-73217772020-06-29 Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health Sil, Arjun Kumar, Vanapalli Naveen Journal of Safety Science and Resilience Technical Note The undefendable outbreak of novel coronavirus (SARS-COV-2) lead to a global health emergency due to its higher transmission rate and longer symptomatic duration, created a health surge in a short time. Since Nov 2019 the outbreak in China, the virus is spreading exponentially everywhere. The current study focuses on the relationship between environmental parameters and the growth rate of COVID-19. The statistical analysis suggests that the temperature changes retarded the growth rate and found that -6.28 °C and +14.51 °C temperature is the favorable range for COVID-19 growth. Gutenberg- Richter's relationship is used to estimate the mean daily rate of exceedance of confirmed cases concerning the change in temperature. Indeed, temperature is the most influential parameter that reduces the growth at the rate of 13–17 cases/day with a 1 °C rise in temperature. China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. Publishing Services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co. Ltd. 2020-09 2020-06-29 /pmc/articles/PMC7321777/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jnlssr.2020.06.004 Text en © 2022 China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. Publishing Services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co. Ltd. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Technical Note Sil, Arjun Kumar, Vanapalli Naveen Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health |
title | Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health |
title_full | Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health |
title_fullStr | Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health |
title_full_unstemmed | Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health |
title_short | Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health |
title_sort | does weather affect the growth rate of covid-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health |
topic | Technical Note |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7321777/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jnlssr.2020.06.004 |
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