Cargando…

Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health

The undefendable outbreak of novel coronavirus (SARS-COV-2) lead to a global health emergency due to its higher transmission rate and longer symptomatic duration, created a health surge in a short time. Since Nov 2019 the outbreak in China, the virus is spreading exponentially everywhere. The curren...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Sil, Arjun, Kumar, Vanapalli Naveen
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. Publishing Services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co. Ltd. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7321777/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jnlssr.2020.06.004
_version_ 1783551548064792576
author Sil, Arjun
Kumar, Vanapalli Naveen
author_facet Sil, Arjun
Kumar, Vanapalli Naveen
author_sort Sil, Arjun
collection PubMed
description The undefendable outbreak of novel coronavirus (SARS-COV-2) lead to a global health emergency due to its higher transmission rate and longer symptomatic duration, created a health surge in a short time. Since Nov 2019 the outbreak in China, the virus is spreading exponentially everywhere. The current study focuses on the relationship between environmental parameters and the growth rate of COVID-19. The statistical analysis suggests that the temperature changes retarded the growth rate and found that -6.28 °C and +14.51 °C temperature is the favorable range for COVID-19 growth. Gutenberg- Richter's relationship is used to estimate the mean daily rate of exceedance of confirmed cases concerning the change in temperature. Indeed, temperature is the most influential parameter that reduces the growth at the rate of 13–17 cases/day with a 1 °C rise in temperature.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-7321777
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2020
publisher China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. Publishing Services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co. Ltd.
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-73217772020-06-29 Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health Sil, Arjun Kumar, Vanapalli Naveen Journal of Safety Science and Resilience Technical Note The undefendable outbreak of novel coronavirus (SARS-COV-2) lead to a global health emergency due to its higher transmission rate and longer symptomatic duration, created a health surge in a short time. Since Nov 2019 the outbreak in China, the virus is spreading exponentially everywhere. The current study focuses on the relationship between environmental parameters and the growth rate of COVID-19. The statistical analysis suggests that the temperature changes retarded the growth rate and found that -6.28 °C and +14.51 °C temperature is the favorable range for COVID-19 growth. Gutenberg- Richter's relationship is used to estimate the mean daily rate of exceedance of confirmed cases concerning the change in temperature. Indeed, temperature is the most influential parameter that reduces the growth at the rate of 13–17 cases/day with a 1 °C rise in temperature. China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. Publishing Services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co. Ltd. 2020-09 2020-06-29 /pmc/articles/PMC7321777/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jnlssr.2020.06.004 Text en © 2022 China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. Publishing Services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co. Ltd. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Technical Note
Sil, Arjun
Kumar, Vanapalli Naveen
Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health
title Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health
title_full Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health
title_fullStr Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health
title_full_unstemmed Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health
title_short Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health
title_sort does weather affect the growth rate of covid-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health
topic Technical Note
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7321777/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jnlssr.2020.06.004
work_keys_str_mv AT silarjun doesweatheraffectthegrowthrateofcovid19astudytocomprehendtransmissiondynamicsonhumanhealth
AT kumarvanapallinaveen doesweatheraffectthegrowthrateofcovid19astudytocomprehendtransmissiondynamicsonhumanhealth