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Predicting re-emergence times of dengue epidemics at low reproductive numbers: DENV1 in Rio de Janeiro, 1986–1990
Predicting arbovirus re-emergence remains challenging in regions with limited off-season transmission and intermittent epidemics. Current mathematical models treat the depletion and replenishment of susceptible (non-immune) hosts as the principal drivers of re-emergence, based on established underst...
Autores principales: | Subramanian, Rahul, Romeo-Aznar, Victoria, Ionides, Edward, Codeço, Claudia T., Pascual, Mercedes |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
The Royal Society
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7328382/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32574544 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2020.0273 |
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