The correlation analysis between the Oxford classification of Chinese IgA nephropathy children and renal outcome - a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND: The 2016 Oxford Classification’s MEST-C scoring system predicts outcomes in adults with IgA nephropathy (IgAN), but it lacks tremendous cohort validation in children with IgAN in China. We sought to verify whether the Oxford classification could be used to predict the renal outcome of children with IgAN. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, 1243 Chinese IgAN children who underwent renal biopsy in Jinling Hospital were enregistered from 2000 to 2017. The combined endpoint was defined as either a ≥ 50% reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or end-stage renal disease (ESRD). We probed into the relevance betwixt the Oxford classification and renal prognosis. RESULTS: There were 29% of children with mesangial proliferation(M1), 35% with endocapillary proliferation (E1), 37% with segmental sclerosis/adhesion lesion (S1), 23% with moderate tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis (T1 25–50% of cortical area involved), 4.3% with severe tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis (T2 > 50% of cortical area involved), 44% with crescent in< 25% of glomeruli(C1), and 4.6% with crescent in> 25% of glomeruli (C2). All children were followed for a medial of 7.2 (4.6–11.7) years, 171 children (14%) arrived at the combined endpoint. The multivariate COX regression model revealed that the presence of lesions S (HR2.7,95%CI 1.8 ~ 4.2, P<0.001) and T (HR6.6,95%CI 3.9 ~ 11.3, P<0.001) may be the reason for poorer prognosis in the whole cohort. In contrast, C lesion showed a significant association with the outcome only in children received no immunosuppressive treatment. CONCLUSIONS: This study revealed that S and T lesions were useful as the long-term renal prognostic factors among Chinese IgAN children.