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Increasing trends in regional heatwaves
Heatwaves have increased in intensity, frequency and duration, with these trends projected to worsen under enhanced global warming. Understanding regional heatwave trends has critical implications for the biophysical and human systems they impact. Until now a comprehensive assessment of regional obs...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7334217/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32620857 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16970-7 |
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author | Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E. Lewis, S. C. |
author_facet | Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E. Lewis, S. C. |
author_sort | Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E. |
collection | PubMed |
description | Heatwaves have increased in intensity, frequency and duration, with these trends projected to worsen under enhanced global warming. Understanding regional heatwave trends has critical implications for the biophysical and human systems they impact. Until now a comprehensive assessment of regional observed changes was hindered by the range of metrics employed, underpinning datasets, and time periods examined. Here, using the Berkeley Earth temperature dataset and key heatwave metrics, we systematically examine regional and global observed heatwave trends. In almost all regions, heatwave frequency demonstrates the most rapid and significant change. A measure of cumulative heat shows significant increases almost everywhere since the 1950s, mainly driven by heatwave days. Trends in heatwave frequency, duration and cumulative heat have accelerated since the 1950s, and due to the high influence of variability we recommend regional trends are assessed over multiple decades. Our results provide comparable regional observed heatwave trends, on spatial and temporal scales necessary for understanding impacts. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7334217 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-73342172020-07-09 Increasing trends in regional heatwaves Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E. Lewis, S. C. Nat Commun Article Heatwaves have increased in intensity, frequency and duration, with these trends projected to worsen under enhanced global warming. Understanding regional heatwave trends has critical implications for the biophysical and human systems they impact. Until now a comprehensive assessment of regional observed changes was hindered by the range of metrics employed, underpinning datasets, and time periods examined. Here, using the Berkeley Earth temperature dataset and key heatwave metrics, we systematically examine regional and global observed heatwave trends. In almost all regions, heatwave frequency demonstrates the most rapid and significant change. A measure of cumulative heat shows significant increases almost everywhere since the 1950s, mainly driven by heatwave days. Trends in heatwave frequency, duration and cumulative heat have accelerated since the 1950s, and due to the high influence of variability we recommend regional trends are assessed over multiple decades. Our results provide comparable regional observed heatwave trends, on spatial and temporal scales necessary for understanding impacts. Nature Publishing Group UK 2020-07-03 /pmc/articles/PMC7334217/ /pubmed/32620857 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16970-7 Text en © The Author(s) 2020 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. |
spellingShingle | Article Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E. Lewis, S. C. Increasing trends in regional heatwaves |
title | Increasing trends in regional heatwaves |
title_full | Increasing trends in regional heatwaves |
title_fullStr | Increasing trends in regional heatwaves |
title_full_unstemmed | Increasing trends in regional heatwaves |
title_short | Increasing trends in regional heatwaves |
title_sort | increasing trends in regional heatwaves |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7334217/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32620857 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16970-7 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT perkinskirkpatrickse increasingtrendsinregionalheatwaves AT lewissc increasingtrendsinregionalheatwaves |