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Increasing trends in regional heatwaves

Heatwaves have increased in intensity, frequency and duration, with these trends projected to worsen under enhanced global warming. Understanding regional heatwave trends has critical implications for the biophysical and human systems they impact. Until now a comprehensive assessment of regional obs...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E., Lewis, S. C.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7334217/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32620857
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16970-7
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author Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E.
Lewis, S. C.
author_facet Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E.
Lewis, S. C.
author_sort Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E.
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description Heatwaves have increased in intensity, frequency and duration, with these trends projected to worsen under enhanced global warming. Understanding regional heatwave trends has critical implications for the biophysical and human systems they impact. Until now a comprehensive assessment of regional observed changes was hindered by the range of metrics employed, underpinning datasets, and time periods examined. Here, using the Berkeley Earth temperature dataset and key heatwave metrics, we systematically examine regional and global observed heatwave trends. In almost all regions, heatwave frequency demonstrates the most rapid and significant change. A measure of cumulative heat shows significant increases almost everywhere since the 1950s, mainly driven by heatwave days. Trends in heatwave frequency, duration and cumulative heat have accelerated since the 1950s, and due to the high influence of variability we recommend regional trends are assessed over multiple decades. Our results provide comparable regional observed heatwave trends, on spatial and temporal scales necessary for understanding impacts.
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spelling pubmed-73342172020-07-09 Increasing trends in regional heatwaves Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E. Lewis, S. C. Nat Commun Article Heatwaves have increased in intensity, frequency and duration, with these trends projected to worsen under enhanced global warming. Understanding regional heatwave trends has critical implications for the biophysical and human systems they impact. Until now a comprehensive assessment of regional observed changes was hindered by the range of metrics employed, underpinning datasets, and time periods examined. Here, using the Berkeley Earth temperature dataset and key heatwave metrics, we systematically examine regional and global observed heatwave trends. In almost all regions, heatwave frequency demonstrates the most rapid and significant change. A measure of cumulative heat shows significant increases almost everywhere since the 1950s, mainly driven by heatwave days. Trends in heatwave frequency, duration and cumulative heat have accelerated since the 1950s, and due to the high influence of variability we recommend regional trends are assessed over multiple decades. Our results provide comparable regional observed heatwave trends, on spatial and temporal scales necessary for understanding impacts. Nature Publishing Group UK 2020-07-03 /pmc/articles/PMC7334217/ /pubmed/32620857 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16970-7 Text en © The Author(s) 2020 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Article
Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E.
Lewis, S. C.
Increasing trends in regional heatwaves
title Increasing trends in regional heatwaves
title_full Increasing trends in regional heatwaves
title_fullStr Increasing trends in regional heatwaves
title_full_unstemmed Increasing trends in regional heatwaves
title_short Increasing trends in regional heatwaves
title_sort increasing trends in regional heatwaves
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7334217/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32620857
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16970-7
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