Cargando…

Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic

Mathematical predictions in combating the epidemics are yet to reach its perfection. The rapid spread, the ways, and the procedures involved in containment of a pandemic demand the earliest understanding in finding solutions in line with the habitual, physiological, biological, and environmental asp...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Anirudh, A.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: KeAi Publishing 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7335626/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32666005
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.06.002
_version_ 1783554175113625600
author Anirudh, A.
author_facet Anirudh, A.
author_sort Anirudh, A.
collection PubMed
description Mathematical predictions in combating the epidemics are yet to reach its perfection. The rapid spread, the ways, and the procedures involved in containment of a pandemic demand the earliest understanding in finding solutions in line with the habitual, physiological, biological, and environmental aspects of life with better computerised mathematical modeling and predictions. Epidemiology models are key tools in public health management programs despite having a high level of uncertainty in each one of these models. This paper describes the outcome and the challenges of SIR, SEIR, SEIRU, SIRD, SLIAR, ARIMA, SIDARTHE, etc models used in prediction of spread, peak, and reduction of Covid-19 cases.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-7335626
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2020
publisher KeAi Publishing
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-73356262020-07-06 Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic Anirudh, A. Infect Dis Model Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission; Edited by Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Prof. Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Prof. Ping Yan, Prof. Jianhong Wu Mathematical predictions in combating the epidemics are yet to reach its perfection. The rapid spread, the ways, and the procedures involved in containment of a pandemic demand the earliest understanding in finding solutions in line with the habitual, physiological, biological, and environmental aspects of life with better computerised mathematical modeling and predictions. Epidemiology models are key tools in public health management programs despite having a high level of uncertainty in each one of these models. This paper describes the outcome and the challenges of SIR, SEIR, SEIRU, SIRD, SLIAR, ARIMA, SIDARTHE, etc models used in prediction of spread, peak, and reduction of Covid-19 cases. KeAi Publishing 2020-06-30 /pmc/articles/PMC7335626/ /pubmed/32666005 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.06.002 Text en © 2020 The Authors. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
spellingShingle Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission; Edited by Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Prof. Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Prof. Ping Yan, Prof. Jianhong Wu
Anirudh, A.
Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic
title Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic
title_full Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic
title_fullStr Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic
title_full_unstemmed Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic
title_short Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic
title_sort mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the covid-19 - what next in combating the pandemic
topic Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission; Edited by Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Prof. Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Prof. Ping Yan, Prof. Jianhong Wu
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7335626/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32666005
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.06.002
work_keys_str_mv AT anirudha mathematicalmodelingandthetransmissiondynamicsinpredictingthecovid19whatnextincombatingthepandemic