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Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic
Mathematical predictions in combating the epidemics are yet to reach its perfection. The rapid spread, the ways, and the procedures involved in containment of a pandemic demand the earliest understanding in finding solutions in line with the habitual, physiological, biological, and environmental asp...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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KeAi Publishing
2020
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7335626/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32666005 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.06.002 |
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author | Anirudh, A. |
author_facet | Anirudh, A. |
author_sort | Anirudh, A. |
collection | PubMed |
description | Mathematical predictions in combating the epidemics are yet to reach its perfection. The rapid spread, the ways, and the procedures involved in containment of a pandemic demand the earliest understanding in finding solutions in line with the habitual, physiological, biological, and environmental aspects of life with better computerised mathematical modeling and predictions. Epidemiology models are key tools in public health management programs despite having a high level of uncertainty in each one of these models. This paper describes the outcome and the challenges of SIR, SEIR, SEIRU, SIRD, SLIAR, ARIMA, SIDARTHE, etc models used in prediction of spread, peak, and reduction of Covid-19 cases. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7335626 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | KeAi Publishing |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-73356262020-07-06 Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic Anirudh, A. Infect Dis Model Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission; Edited by Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Prof. Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Prof. Ping Yan, Prof. Jianhong Wu Mathematical predictions in combating the epidemics are yet to reach its perfection. The rapid spread, the ways, and the procedures involved in containment of a pandemic demand the earliest understanding in finding solutions in line with the habitual, physiological, biological, and environmental aspects of life with better computerised mathematical modeling and predictions. Epidemiology models are key tools in public health management programs despite having a high level of uncertainty in each one of these models. This paper describes the outcome and the challenges of SIR, SEIR, SEIRU, SIRD, SLIAR, ARIMA, SIDARTHE, etc models used in prediction of spread, peak, and reduction of Covid-19 cases. KeAi Publishing 2020-06-30 /pmc/articles/PMC7335626/ /pubmed/32666005 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.06.002 Text en © 2020 The Authors. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). |
spellingShingle | Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission; Edited by Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Prof. Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Prof. Ping Yan, Prof. Jianhong Wu Anirudh, A. Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic |
title | Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic |
title_full | Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic |
title_fullStr | Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic |
title_full_unstemmed | Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic |
title_short | Mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the Covid-19 - What next in combating the pandemic |
title_sort | mathematical modeling and the transmission dynamics in predicting the covid-19 - what next in combating the pandemic |
topic | Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission; Edited by Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Prof. Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Prof. Ping Yan, Prof. Jianhong Wu |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7335626/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32666005 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.06.002 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT anirudha mathematicalmodelingandthetransmissiondynamicsinpredictingthecovid19whatnextincombatingthepandemic |