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Stability Analysis and Optimal Control for Yellow Fever Model with Vertical Transmission

In this study, a deterministic model for the transmission dynamics of yellow fever (YF) in a human–mosquito setting in the presence of control measures is constructed and rigorously analyzed. In addition to horizontal transmissions, vertical transmission within mosquito population is incorporated. A...

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Autores principales: Danbaba, UA, Garba, SM
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer India 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7336115/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32835032
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40819-020-00860-z
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author Danbaba, UA
Garba, SM
author_facet Danbaba, UA
Garba, SM
author_sort Danbaba, UA
collection PubMed
description In this study, a deterministic model for the transmission dynamics of yellow fever (YF) in a human–mosquito setting in the presence of control measures is constructed and rigorously analyzed. In addition to horizontal transmissions, vertical transmission within mosquito population is incorporated. Analysis of the mosquito-only component of the model shows that the reduced model has a mosquito-extinction equilibrium, which is globally-asymptotically stable whenever the basic offspring number [Formula: see text] is less than unity. The vaccinated and type reproduction numbers of the full-model are computed. Condition for global-asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium of the model when [Formula: see text] is presented. It is shown that, fractional dosing of YF vaccine does not meet YF vaccination requirements. Optimal control theory is applied to the model to characterize the controls parameters. Using Pontryagin’s maximum principle and modified forward–backward sweep technique, the necessary conditions for existence of solutions to the optimal control problem is determined. Numerical simulations of the models to assess the effect of fractional vaccine dosing on the disease dynamics and global sensitivity analysis are presented.
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spelling pubmed-73361152020-07-06 Stability Analysis and Optimal Control for Yellow Fever Model with Vertical Transmission Danbaba, UA Garba, SM Int J Appl Comput Math Original Paper In this study, a deterministic model for the transmission dynamics of yellow fever (YF) in a human–mosquito setting in the presence of control measures is constructed and rigorously analyzed. In addition to horizontal transmissions, vertical transmission within mosquito population is incorporated. Analysis of the mosquito-only component of the model shows that the reduced model has a mosquito-extinction equilibrium, which is globally-asymptotically stable whenever the basic offspring number [Formula: see text] is less than unity. The vaccinated and type reproduction numbers of the full-model are computed. Condition for global-asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium of the model when [Formula: see text] is presented. It is shown that, fractional dosing of YF vaccine does not meet YF vaccination requirements. Optimal control theory is applied to the model to characterize the controls parameters. Using Pontryagin’s maximum principle and modified forward–backward sweep technique, the necessary conditions for existence of solutions to the optimal control problem is determined. Numerical simulations of the models to assess the effect of fractional vaccine dosing on the disease dynamics and global sensitivity analysis are presented. Springer India 2020-07-06 2020 /pmc/articles/PMC7336115/ /pubmed/32835032 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40819-020-00860-z Text en © Springer Nature India Private Limited 2020 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Original Paper
Danbaba, UA
Garba, SM
Stability Analysis and Optimal Control for Yellow Fever Model with Vertical Transmission
title Stability Analysis and Optimal Control for Yellow Fever Model with Vertical Transmission
title_full Stability Analysis and Optimal Control for Yellow Fever Model with Vertical Transmission
title_fullStr Stability Analysis and Optimal Control for Yellow Fever Model with Vertical Transmission
title_full_unstemmed Stability Analysis and Optimal Control for Yellow Fever Model with Vertical Transmission
title_short Stability Analysis and Optimal Control for Yellow Fever Model with Vertical Transmission
title_sort stability analysis and optimal control for yellow fever model with vertical transmission
topic Original Paper
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7336115/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32835032
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40819-020-00860-z
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