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Calibrating Gompertz in reverse: What is your longevity-risk-adjusted global age?()

This paper develops a computational framework for inverting Gompertz–Makeham mortality hazard rates, consistent with compensation laws of mortality for heterogeneous populations, to define a longevity-risk-adjusted global (L-RaG) age. To illustrate its salience and possible applications, the paper c...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Milevsky, Moshe A.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7339829/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32834258
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.03.009
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author Milevsky, Moshe A.
author_facet Milevsky, Moshe A.
author_sort Milevsky, Moshe A.
collection PubMed
description This paper develops a computational framework for inverting Gompertz–Makeham mortality hazard rates, consistent with compensation laws of mortality for heterogeneous populations, to define a longevity-risk-adjusted global (L-RaG) age. To illustrate its salience and possible applications, the paper calibrates and presents L-RaG values using country data from the Human Mortality Database (HMD). Among other things, the author demonstrates that when properly benchmarked, the longevity-risk-adjusted global age of a 55-year-old Swedish male is 48, whereas a 55-year-old Russian male is closer in age to 67. The paper also discusses the connection between the proposed L-RaG age and the related concept of Biological age, from the medical and gerontology literature. Practically speaking, in a world of growing mortality heterogeneity, the L-RaG age could be used for pension and retirement policy. In the language of behavioral finance and economics, a salient metric that adjusts chronological age for longevity risk might help capture the public’s attention, educate them about lifetime uncertainty and induce many of them to take action — such as working longer and/or retiring later.
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spelling pubmed-73398292020-07-07 Calibrating Gompertz in reverse: What is your longevity-risk-adjusted global age?() Milevsky, Moshe A. Insur Math Econ Article This paper develops a computational framework for inverting Gompertz–Makeham mortality hazard rates, consistent with compensation laws of mortality for heterogeneous populations, to define a longevity-risk-adjusted global (L-RaG) age. To illustrate its salience and possible applications, the paper calibrates and presents L-RaG values using country data from the Human Mortality Database (HMD). Among other things, the author demonstrates that when properly benchmarked, the longevity-risk-adjusted global age of a 55-year-old Swedish male is 48, whereas a 55-year-old Russian male is closer in age to 67. The paper also discusses the connection between the proposed L-RaG age and the related concept of Biological age, from the medical and gerontology literature. Practically speaking, in a world of growing mortality heterogeneity, the L-RaG age could be used for pension and retirement policy. In the language of behavioral finance and economics, a salient metric that adjusts chronological age for longevity risk might help capture the public’s attention, educate them about lifetime uncertainty and induce many of them to take action — such as working longer and/or retiring later. The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. 2020-05 2020-04-11 /pmc/articles/PMC7339829/ /pubmed/32834258 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.03.009 Text en © 2020 The Author(s) Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Milevsky, Moshe A.
Calibrating Gompertz in reverse: What is your longevity-risk-adjusted global age?()
title Calibrating Gompertz in reverse: What is your longevity-risk-adjusted global age?()
title_full Calibrating Gompertz in reverse: What is your longevity-risk-adjusted global age?()
title_fullStr Calibrating Gompertz in reverse: What is your longevity-risk-adjusted global age?()
title_full_unstemmed Calibrating Gompertz in reverse: What is your longevity-risk-adjusted global age?()
title_short Calibrating Gompertz in reverse: What is your longevity-risk-adjusted global age?()
title_sort calibrating gompertz in reverse: what is your longevity-risk-adjusted global age?()
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7339829/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32834258
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.03.009
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