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Excluded futures: the continuity bias in scenario assessments

Global scenario assessments in support of climate, biodiversity, energy and other international policy deliberations tend to focus on a narrow bandwidth of possibilities: futures that unfold gradually from current patterns and trends. This “continuity bias” downplays the real risks (and opportunitie...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Raskin, Paul, Swart, Rob
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: BioMed Central 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7341699/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s42055-020-00030-5