Delayed gastric emptying after Pancreaticoduodenectomy: a propensity score-matched analysis and clinical Nomogram study

BACKGROUND: Delayed gastric emptying (DGE) is a common and frustrating complication of pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). Studies suggest that surgical methods and other clinical characteristics may affect the occurrence of DGE. Nevertheless, the results of such studies are conflicting. The objective of this work was to perform a propensity score matching analysis to compare the differences between pylorus-preserving pancreaticoduodenectomy (PPPD) and pylorus-removing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PrPD) and to develop and validate a nomogram to predict the probability of severe DGE (SDGE). METHODS: This retrospective study enrolled patients who underwent PD at our institution from December 2009 to December 2018. Propensity score matching was applied at a ratio of 1:1 to compare PPPD and PrPD groups. We compared incidence of complications, DGE, lengths of hospital stay, hospitalization costs, and mortality. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed to identify potential risk factors of severe DGE. Finally, a nomogram was developed and validated to predict severe DGE. RESULTS: The PPPD group had a significantly higher rate of postoperative pancreatic fistula (29.9% versus 17.4%, P < 0.05) and less blood loss (463.7 ml versus 694.9 ml, P < 0.05). After propensity score matching, the PPPD group had a significantly higher rate of postoperative DGE (19.2% versus 3.8%, P < 0.05), especially severe DGE (17.3% versus 0%) than the PrPD group. There were no significant differences in terms of lengths of hospital stay, hospitalization costs or mortality between the groups. Surgical method, biliary leakage, abdominal infection, and diabetes were independent risk factors for SDGE. The nomogram predicted SDGE with a training C - index of 0.798 and a validation C - index of 0.721. CONCLUSION: PPPD increases the risk of DGE than PrPD, especially SDGE. Our prediction nomogram gives good prediction of SDGE after pancreaticoduodenectomy.