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On the correlation between solar activity and large earthquakes worldwide

Large earthquakes occurring worldwide have long been recognized to be non Poisson distributed, so involving some large scale correlation mechanism, which could be internal or external to the Earth. Till now, no statistically significant correlation of the global seismicity with one of the possible m...

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Autores principales: Marchitelli, Vito, Harabaglia, Paolo, Troise, Claudia, De Natale, Giuseppe
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7359343/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32661344
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-67860-3
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author Marchitelli, Vito
Harabaglia, Paolo
Troise, Claudia
De Natale, Giuseppe
author_facet Marchitelli, Vito
Harabaglia, Paolo
Troise, Claudia
De Natale, Giuseppe
author_sort Marchitelli, Vito
collection PubMed
description Large earthquakes occurring worldwide have long been recognized to be non Poisson distributed, so involving some large scale correlation mechanism, which could be internal or external to the Earth. Till now, no statistically significant correlation of the global seismicity with one of the possible mechanisms has been demonstrated yet. In this paper, we analyze 20 years of proton density and velocity data, as recorded by the SOHO satellite, and the worldwide seismicity in the corresponding period, as reported by the ISC-GEM catalogue. We found clear correlation between proton density and the occurrence of large earthquakes (M > 5.6), with a time shift of one day. The significance of such correlation is very high, with probability to be wrong lower than 10(–5). The correlation increases with the magnitude threshold of the seismic catalogue. A tentative model explaining such a correlation is also proposed, in terms of the reverse piezoelectric effect induced by the applied electric field related to the proton density. This result opens new perspectives in seismological interpretations, as well as in earthquake forecast.
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spelling pubmed-73593432020-07-16 On the correlation between solar activity and large earthquakes worldwide Marchitelli, Vito Harabaglia, Paolo Troise, Claudia De Natale, Giuseppe Sci Rep Article Large earthquakes occurring worldwide have long been recognized to be non Poisson distributed, so involving some large scale correlation mechanism, which could be internal or external to the Earth. Till now, no statistically significant correlation of the global seismicity with one of the possible mechanisms has been demonstrated yet. In this paper, we analyze 20 years of proton density and velocity data, as recorded by the SOHO satellite, and the worldwide seismicity in the corresponding period, as reported by the ISC-GEM catalogue. We found clear correlation between proton density and the occurrence of large earthquakes (M > 5.6), with a time shift of one day. The significance of such correlation is very high, with probability to be wrong lower than 10(–5). The correlation increases with the magnitude threshold of the seismic catalogue. A tentative model explaining such a correlation is also proposed, in terms of the reverse piezoelectric effect induced by the applied electric field related to the proton density. This result opens new perspectives in seismological interpretations, as well as in earthquake forecast. Nature Publishing Group UK 2020-07-13 /pmc/articles/PMC7359343/ /pubmed/32661344 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-67860-3 Text en © The Author(s) 2020 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Article
Marchitelli, Vito
Harabaglia, Paolo
Troise, Claudia
De Natale, Giuseppe
On the correlation between solar activity and large earthquakes worldwide
title On the correlation between solar activity and large earthquakes worldwide
title_full On the correlation between solar activity and large earthquakes worldwide
title_fullStr On the correlation between solar activity and large earthquakes worldwide
title_full_unstemmed On the correlation between solar activity and large earthquakes worldwide
title_short On the correlation between solar activity and large earthquakes worldwide
title_sort on the correlation between solar activity and large earthquakes worldwide
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7359343/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32661344
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-67860-3
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