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Social distancing versus early detection and contacts tracing in epidemic management
Different countries – and sometimes different regions within the same countries – have adopted different strategies in trying to contain the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic; these mix in variable parts social confinement, early detection and contact tracing. In this paper we discuss the different effects...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier Ltd.
2020
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7365132/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32834628 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110074 |
Sumario: | Different countries – and sometimes different regions within the same countries – have adopted different strategies in trying to contain the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic; these mix in variable parts social confinement, early detection and contact tracing. In this paper we discuss the different effects of these ingredients on the epidemic dynamics; the discussion is conducted with the help of two simple models, i.e. the classical SIR model and the recently introduced variant A-SIR (arXiv:2003.08720) which takes into account the presence of a large set of asymptomatic infectives. |
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