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Characteristics of COVID-2019 in areas epidemic from imported cases

OBJECTIVES: The outbreak of the 2019 novel coronaviruses disease (COVID-2019) in areas with epidemics due to imported cases is a cause of concern in China; however, few studies have reported on the prevalence of COVID-19 in these areas. METHODS: The number of diagnosed cases in Fujian Province was c...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Zhang, Wenchang, Liu, Jin, Zhang, Chenyun, Sun, Yi, Huang, Huiling
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7373336/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32696207
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00038-020-01434-y
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author Zhang, Wenchang
Liu, Jin
Zhang, Chenyun
Sun, Yi
Huang, Huiling
author_facet Zhang, Wenchang
Liu, Jin
Zhang, Chenyun
Sun, Yi
Huang, Huiling
author_sort Zhang, Wenchang
collection PubMed
description OBJECTIVES: The outbreak of the 2019 novel coronaviruses disease (COVID-2019) in areas with epidemics due to imported cases is a cause of concern in China; however, few studies have reported on the prevalence of COVID-19 in these areas. METHODS: The number of diagnosed cases in Fujian Province was collected, and the time distribution of these cases was analyzed. RESULTS: The results showed that the COVID-19 prevalence in areas with epidemics due to imported cases could be divided into two stages. The first stage was an outbreak dominated by imported cases, with the data showing an obviously skewed distribution. The second stage was dominated by nonimported cases with sporadic and low-level fluctuations. Moreover, the data demonstrated that the ratio of unexplained infections to nonimported cases was increasing. CONCLUSIONS: A two-stage outbreak in areas with epidemics due to imported cases, effective control of the “source of infection” and blocking of the transmission route can significantly minimize the peak height in the first stage and the spread of the epidemic in the second stage. Control of the epidemic in the second stage requires prevention and control of the aggregation of cases caused by unexplained infections.
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spelling pubmed-73733362020-07-22 Characteristics of COVID-2019 in areas epidemic from imported cases Zhang, Wenchang Liu, Jin Zhang, Chenyun Sun, Yi Huang, Huiling Int J Public Health Original Article OBJECTIVES: The outbreak of the 2019 novel coronaviruses disease (COVID-2019) in areas with epidemics due to imported cases is a cause of concern in China; however, few studies have reported on the prevalence of COVID-19 in these areas. METHODS: The number of diagnosed cases in Fujian Province was collected, and the time distribution of these cases was analyzed. RESULTS: The results showed that the COVID-19 prevalence in areas with epidemics due to imported cases could be divided into two stages. The first stage was an outbreak dominated by imported cases, with the data showing an obviously skewed distribution. The second stage was dominated by nonimported cases with sporadic and low-level fluctuations. Moreover, the data demonstrated that the ratio of unexplained infections to nonimported cases was increasing. CONCLUSIONS: A two-stage outbreak in areas with epidemics due to imported cases, effective control of the “source of infection” and blocking of the transmission route can significantly minimize the peak height in the first stage and the spread of the epidemic in the second stage. Control of the epidemic in the second stage requires prevention and control of the aggregation of cases caused by unexplained infections. Springer International Publishing 2020-07-21 /pmc/articles/PMC7373336/ /pubmed/32696207 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00038-020-01434-y Text en © Swiss School of Public Health (SSPH+) 2020 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Original Article
Zhang, Wenchang
Liu, Jin
Zhang, Chenyun
Sun, Yi
Huang, Huiling
Characteristics of COVID-2019 in areas epidemic from imported cases
title Characteristics of COVID-2019 in areas epidemic from imported cases
title_full Characteristics of COVID-2019 in areas epidemic from imported cases
title_fullStr Characteristics of COVID-2019 in areas epidemic from imported cases
title_full_unstemmed Characteristics of COVID-2019 in areas epidemic from imported cases
title_short Characteristics of COVID-2019 in areas epidemic from imported cases
title_sort characteristics of covid-2019 in areas epidemic from imported cases
topic Original Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7373336/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32696207
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00038-020-01434-y
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