A Retrospective Study of predicting risk of Metastasis among FDG-avid Bone Lesions in (18)F-FDG PET/CT

Purpose: We evaluated the imaging and clinical features for discriminating the possibility of metastasis among FDG-avid bone lesions in 18F-FDG PET/CT in patients who have received bone biopsy. Methods: The retrospective study included patients who underwent both (18)F-FDG PET/CT and bone biopsy for FDG-avid bone lesions. Bone lesions maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax), CT findings, alongside with common clinical features were analyzed. Results: From the 338 patients enrolled in the final study, all of them were received bone biopsy. Biopsies confirm metastasis in 256 cases (75.74%) and benign tissue in 82 cases (24.26%). Metastasis group had higher bone SUVmax than benign group (median 7.9 vs 4.5, p <0.001). A cutoff bone SUVmax of 5 achieved an AUC of 0.748 in all patients. Lytic CT feature and higher age were more likely frequent in metastasis group. Moreover, in patients without obvious CT abnormality (45, 13.31%), the AUC was 0.743 by a SUVmax cutoff of 5.38, whilst in patients with a solitary bone lesion (74, 21.89%), the AUC was 0.803 by a SUVmax cutoff of 4.3. Conclusions: SUVmax is a promising and valuable metabolic indicator for predicting risk of metastasis among FDG-avid bone lesions in 18F-FDG PET/CT, ancillary clinical and imaging features may increase the probability of a metastatic bone lesion.