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Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19

We use a simple SIR-like epidemic model integrating known age-contact patterns for the United States to model the effect of age-targeted mitigation strategies for a COVID-19-like epidemic. We find that, among strategies which end with population immunity, strict age-targeted mitigation strategies ha...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Chikina, Maria, Pegden, Wesley
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7380601/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32706809
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0236237
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author Chikina, Maria
Pegden, Wesley
author_facet Chikina, Maria
Pegden, Wesley
author_sort Chikina, Maria
collection PubMed
description We use a simple SIR-like epidemic model integrating known age-contact patterns for the United States to model the effect of age-targeted mitigation strategies for a COVID-19-like epidemic. We find that, among strategies which end with population immunity, strict age-targeted mitigation strategies have the potential to greatly reduce mortalities and ICU utilization for natural parameter choices.
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spelling pubmed-73806012020-07-27 Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19 Chikina, Maria Pegden, Wesley PLoS One Research Article We use a simple SIR-like epidemic model integrating known age-contact patterns for the United States to model the effect of age-targeted mitigation strategies for a COVID-19-like epidemic. We find that, among strategies which end with population immunity, strict age-targeted mitigation strategies have the potential to greatly reduce mortalities and ICU utilization for natural parameter choices. Public Library of Science 2020-07-24 /pmc/articles/PMC7380601/ /pubmed/32706809 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0236237 Text en © 2020 Chikina, Pegden http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Chikina, Maria
Pegden, Wesley
Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19
title Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19
title_full Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19
title_fullStr Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19
title_full_unstemmed Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19
title_short Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19
title_sort modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for covid-19
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7380601/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32706809
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0236237
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