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Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19
We use a simple SIR-like epidemic model integrating known age-contact patterns for the United States to model the effect of age-targeted mitigation strategies for a COVID-19-like epidemic. We find that, among strategies which end with population immunity, strict age-targeted mitigation strategies ha...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7380601/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32706809 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0236237 |
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author | Chikina, Maria Pegden, Wesley |
author_facet | Chikina, Maria Pegden, Wesley |
author_sort | Chikina, Maria |
collection | PubMed |
description | We use a simple SIR-like epidemic model integrating known age-contact patterns for the United States to model the effect of age-targeted mitigation strategies for a COVID-19-like epidemic. We find that, among strategies which end with population immunity, strict age-targeted mitigation strategies have the potential to greatly reduce mortalities and ICU utilization for natural parameter choices. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7380601 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | Public Library of Science |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-73806012020-07-27 Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19 Chikina, Maria Pegden, Wesley PLoS One Research Article We use a simple SIR-like epidemic model integrating known age-contact patterns for the United States to model the effect of age-targeted mitigation strategies for a COVID-19-like epidemic. We find that, among strategies which end with population immunity, strict age-targeted mitigation strategies have the potential to greatly reduce mortalities and ICU utilization for natural parameter choices. Public Library of Science 2020-07-24 /pmc/articles/PMC7380601/ /pubmed/32706809 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0236237 Text en © 2020 Chikina, Pegden http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Research Article Chikina, Maria Pegden, Wesley Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19 |
title | Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19 |
title_full | Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19 |
title_fullStr | Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19 |
title_full_unstemmed | Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19 |
title_short | Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19 |
title_sort | modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for covid-19 |
topic | Research Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7380601/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32706809 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0236237 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT chikinamaria modelingstrictagetargetedmitigationstrategiesforcovid19 AT pegdenwesley modelingstrictagetargetedmitigationstrategiesforcovid19 |