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Life expectancy: what does it measure?

Life expectancy (LE) is considered a straightforward summary measure of mortality that comes with an implicit age standardisation. Thus, it has become common to present differences in mortality across populations as differences in LE, instead of, say, relative risks. However, most of the time LE doe...

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Autores principales: Modig, Karin, Rau, Roland, Ahlbom, Anders
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: BMJ Publishing Group 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7380844/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32699164
http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2019-035932
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author Modig, Karin
Rau, Roland
Ahlbom, Anders
author_facet Modig, Karin
Rau, Roland
Ahlbom, Anders
author_sort Modig, Karin
collection PubMed
description Life expectancy (LE) is considered a straightforward summary measure of mortality that comes with an implicit age standardisation. Thus, it has become common to present differences in mortality across populations as differences in LE, instead of, say, relative risks. However, most of the time LE does not quite provide what the term promises. LE is based on a synthetic cohort and is therefore not the true LE of anyone. Also, the implicit age standardisation is construed in such a way that it can be questioned whether it standardises age at all. In this paper, we examine LE from the point of view of its applicability to epidemiological and public health research and provide examples on the relation between an LE difference and a relative risk. We argue that the age standardisation in estimations of LE is not straightforward since it is standardised against different age distributions and that the translation of changes in age specific mortality into change in remaining LE will depend on the level and the distribution of mortality in the population. We conclude that LE is not the measure of choice in aetiological research or in research with the aim to identify risk factors of death, but that LE may be a compelling choice in public health contexts. One cannot escape the thought that the mathematical elegance of LE has contributed to its popularity.
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spelling pubmed-73808442020-08-04 Life expectancy: what does it measure? Modig, Karin Rau, Roland Ahlbom, Anders BMJ Open Epidemiology Life expectancy (LE) is considered a straightforward summary measure of mortality that comes with an implicit age standardisation. Thus, it has become common to present differences in mortality across populations as differences in LE, instead of, say, relative risks. However, most of the time LE does not quite provide what the term promises. LE is based on a synthetic cohort and is therefore not the true LE of anyone. Also, the implicit age standardisation is construed in such a way that it can be questioned whether it standardises age at all. In this paper, we examine LE from the point of view of its applicability to epidemiological and public health research and provide examples on the relation between an LE difference and a relative risk. We argue that the age standardisation in estimations of LE is not straightforward since it is standardised against different age distributions and that the translation of changes in age specific mortality into change in remaining LE will depend on the level and the distribution of mortality in the population. We conclude that LE is not the measure of choice in aetiological research or in research with the aim to identify risk factors of death, but that LE may be a compelling choice in public health contexts. One cannot escape the thought that the mathematical elegance of LE has contributed to its popularity. BMJ Publishing Group 2020-07-22 /pmc/articles/PMC7380844/ /pubmed/32699164 http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2019-035932 Text en © Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited, appropriate credit is given, any changes made indicated, and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/.
spellingShingle Epidemiology
Modig, Karin
Rau, Roland
Ahlbom, Anders
Life expectancy: what does it measure?
title Life expectancy: what does it measure?
title_full Life expectancy: what does it measure?
title_fullStr Life expectancy: what does it measure?
title_full_unstemmed Life expectancy: what does it measure?
title_short Life expectancy: what does it measure?
title_sort life expectancy: what does it measure?
topic Epidemiology
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7380844/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32699164
http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2019-035932
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