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Population size estimates based on the frequency of genetically assigned parent–offspring pairs within a subsample

Estimating population density as precise as possible is a key premise for managing wild animal species. This can be a challenging task if the species in question is elusive or, due to high quantities, hard to count. We present a new, mathematically derived estimator for population size, where the es...

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Autores principales: Müller, Björn, Mercker, Moritz, Brün, Jörg
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7381586/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32724517
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.6365
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author Müller, Björn
Mercker, Moritz
Brün, Jörg
author_facet Müller, Björn
Mercker, Moritz
Brün, Jörg
author_sort Müller, Björn
collection PubMed
description Estimating population density as precise as possible is a key premise for managing wild animal species. This can be a challenging task if the species in question is elusive or, due to high quantities, hard to count. We present a new, mathematically derived estimator for population size, where the estimation is based solely on the frequency of genetically assigned parent–offspring pairs within a subsample of an ungulate population. By use of molecular markers like microsatellites, the number of these parent–offspring pairs can be determined. The study's aim was to clarify whether a classical capture–mark–recapture (CMR) method can be adapted or extended by this genetic element to a genetic‐based capture–mark–recapture (g‐CMR). We numerically validate the presented estimator (and corresponding variance estimates) and provide the R‐code for the computation of estimates of population size including confidence intervals. The presented method provides a new framework to precisely estimate population size based on the genetic analysis of a one‐time subsample. This is especially of value where traditional CMR methods or other DNA‐based (fecal or hair) capture–recapture methods fail or are too difficult to apply. The DNA source used is basically irrelevant, but in the present case the sampling of an annual hunting bag is to serve as data basis. In addition to the high quality of muscle tissue samples, hunting bags provide additional and essential information for wildlife management practices, such as age, weight, or sex. In cases where a g‐CMR method is ecologically and hunting‐wise appropriate, it enables a wide applicability, also through its species‐independent use.
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spelling pubmed-73815862020-07-27 Population size estimates based on the frequency of genetically assigned parent–offspring pairs within a subsample Müller, Björn Mercker, Moritz Brün, Jörg Ecol Evol Original Research Estimating population density as precise as possible is a key premise for managing wild animal species. This can be a challenging task if the species in question is elusive or, due to high quantities, hard to count. We present a new, mathematically derived estimator for population size, where the estimation is based solely on the frequency of genetically assigned parent–offspring pairs within a subsample of an ungulate population. By use of molecular markers like microsatellites, the number of these parent–offspring pairs can be determined. The study's aim was to clarify whether a classical capture–mark–recapture (CMR) method can be adapted or extended by this genetic element to a genetic‐based capture–mark–recapture (g‐CMR). We numerically validate the presented estimator (and corresponding variance estimates) and provide the R‐code for the computation of estimates of population size including confidence intervals. The presented method provides a new framework to precisely estimate population size based on the genetic analysis of a one‐time subsample. This is especially of value where traditional CMR methods or other DNA‐based (fecal or hair) capture–recapture methods fail or are too difficult to apply. The DNA source used is basically irrelevant, but in the present case the sampling of an annual hunting bag is to serve as data basis. In addition to the high quality of muscle tissue samples, hunting bags provide additional and essential information for wildlife management practices, such as age, weight, or sex. In cases where a g‐CMR method is ecologically and hunting‐wise appropriate, it enables a wide applicability, also through its species‐independent use. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2020-05-20 /pmc/articles/PMC7381586/ /pubmed/32724517 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.6365 Text en © 2020 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Original Research
Müller, Björn
Mercker, Moritz
Brün, Jörg
Population size estimates based on the frequency of genetically assigned parent–offspring pairs within a subsample
title Population size estimates based on the frequency of genetically assigned parent–offspring pairs within a subsample
title_full Population size estimates based on the frequency of genetically assigned parent–offspring pairs within a subsample
title_fullStr Population size estimates based on the frequency of genetically assigned parent–offspring pairs within a subsample
title_full_unstemmed Population size estimates based on the frequency of genetically assigned parent–offspring pairs within a subsample
title_short Population size estimates based on the frequency of genetically assigned parent–offspring pairs within a subsample
title_sort population size estimates based on the frequency of genetically assigned parent–offspring pairs within a subsample
topic Original Research
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7381586/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32724517
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.6365
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