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When is SARS-CoV-2 in your shopping list?
The pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has caused several million confirmed cases worldwide. The necessity of keeping open and accessible public commercial establishments such as supermarkets or pharmacies increases during the pandemic provided that distancing rules and crowd control ar...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier Inc.
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7384979/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32730811 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108434 |
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author | Hernandez-Mejia, Gustavo Hernandez-Vargas, Esteban A. |
author_facet | Hernandez-Mejia, Gustavo Hernandez-Vargas, Esteban A. |
author_sort | Hernandez-Mejia, Gustavo |
collection | PubMed |
description | The pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has caused several million confirmed cases worldwide. The necessity of keeping open and accessible public commercial establishments such as supermarkets or pharmacies increases during the pandemic provided that distancing rules and crowd control are satisfied. Herein, using agent-based models, we explore the potential spread of the novel SARS-CoV-2 considering the case of a small size supermarket. For diverse distancing rules and number of simultaneous users (customers), we question flexible and limited movement policies, guiding the flow and interactions of users in place. Results indicate that a guided, limited in movement and well-organized policy combined with a distance rule of at least 1 m and a small number of users may aid in the mitigation of potential new contagions in more than 90% compared to the usual policy of flexible movement with more users which may reach up to 64% of mitigation of potential new infections under the same distancing conditions. This study may guide novel strategies for the mitigation of the current COVID-19 pandemic, at any stage, and prevention of future outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 or related viruses. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7384979 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | Elsevier Inc. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-73849792020-07-28 When is SARS-CoV-2 in your shopping list? Hernandez-Mejia, Gustavo Hernandez-Vargas, Esteban A. Math Biosci Article The pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has caused several million confirmed cases worldwide. The necessity of keeping open and accessible public commercial establishments such as supermarkets or pharmacies increases during the pandemic provided that distancing rules and crowd control are satisfied. Herein, using agent-based models, we explore the potential spread of the novel SARS-CoV-2 considering the case of a small size supermarket. For diverse distancing rules and number of simultaneous users (customers), we question flexible and limited movement policies, guiding the flow and interactions of users in place. Results indicate that a guided, limited in movement and well-organized policy combined with a distance rule of at least 1 m and a small number of users may aid in the mitigation of potential new contagions in more than 90% compared to the usual policy of flexible movement with more users which may reach up to 64% of mitigation of potential new infections under the same distancing conditions. This study may guide novel strategies for the mitigation of the current COVID-19 pandemic, at any stage, and prevention of future outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 or related viruses. Elsevier Inc. 2020-10 2020-07-28 /pmc/articles/PMC7384979/ /pubmed/32730811 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108434 Text en © 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Hernandez-Mejia, Gustavo Hernandez-Vargas, Esteban A. When is SARS-CoV-2 in your shopping list? |
title | When is SARS-CoV-2 in your shopping list? |
title_full | When is SARS-CoV-2 in your shopping list? |
title_fullStr | When is SARS-CoV-2 in your shopping list? |
title_full_unstemmed | When is SARS-CoV-2 in your shopping list? |
title_short | When is SARS-CoV-2 in your shopping list? |
title_sort | when is sars-cov-2 in your shopping list? |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7384979/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32730811 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108434 |
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