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Stochastic model of measles transmission dynamics with double dose vaccination

In this paper we developed a stochastic model of measles transmission dynamics with double dose vaccination. The total population in this model was sub-divided in to five compartments, namely Susceptible [Formula: see text] , Infected [Formula: see text] Vaccinated first dose [Formula: see text] Vac...

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Autores principales: Tilahun, Getachew Teshome, Demie, Seleshi, Eyob, Alemayehu
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: KeAi Publishing 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7388189/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32775847
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.06.003
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author Tilahun, Getachew Teshome
Demie, Seleshi
Eyob, Alemayehu
author_facet Tilahun, Getachew Teshome
Demie, Seleshi
Eyob, Alemayehu
author_sort Tilahun, Getachew Teshome
collection PubMed
description In this paper we developed a stochastic model of measles transmission dynamics with double dose vaccination. The total population in this model was sub-divided in to five compartments, namely Susceptible [Formula: see text] , Infected [Formula: see text] Vaccinated first dose [Formula: see text] Vaccinated second dose [Formula: see text] and Recovered [Formula: see text] First the model was developed by deterministic approach and then transformed into stochastic one, which is known to play a significant role by providing additional degree of realism compared to the deterministic approach. The analysis of the model was done in both approaches. The qualitative behavior of the model, like conditions for positivity of solutions, invariant region of the solution, the existence of equilibrium points of the model and their stability, and also sensitivity analysis of the model were analyzed. We showed that in both deterministic and stochastic cases if the basic reproduction number is less than 1 or greater than 1 the disease free equilibrium point is stable or unstable respectively, so that the disease dies out or persists within the population. Numerical simulations were carried out using MATLAB to support our analytical solutions. These simulations show that how double dose vaccination affect the dynamics of human population.
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spelling pubmed-73881892020-08-06 Stochastic model of measles transmission dynamics with double dose vaccination Tilahun, Getachew Teshome Demie, Seleshi Eyob, Alemayehu Infect Dis Model Primer Articles for Infectious Disease Modelling; Edited by Dr. Gerardo Chowell, Dr. Jianhong Wu In this paper we developed a stochastic model of measles transmission dynamics with double dose vaccination. The total population in this model was sub-divided in to five compartments, namely Susceptible [Formula: see text] , Infected [Formula: see text] Vaccinated first dose [Formula: see text] Vaccinated second dose [Formula: see text] and Recovered [Formula: see text] First the model was developed by deterministic approach and then transformed into stochastic one, which is known to play a significant role by providing additional degree of realism compared to the deterministic approach. The analysis of the model was done in both approaches. The qualitative behavior of the model, like conditions for positivity of solutions, invariant region of the solution, the existence of equilibrium points of the model and their stability, and also sensitivity analysis of the model were analyzed. We showed that in both deterministic and stochastic cases if the basic reproduction number is less than 1 or greater than 1 the disease free equilibrium point is stable or unstable respectively, so that the disease dies out or persists within the population. Numerical simulations were carried out using MATLAB to support our analytical solutions. These simulations show that how double dose vaccination affect the dynamics of human population. KeAi Publishing 2020-07-03 /pmc/articles/PMC7388189/ /pubmed/32775847 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.06.003 Text en © 2020 The Authors http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
spellingShingle Primer Articles for Infectious Disease Modelling; Edited by Dr. Gerardo Chowell, Dr. Jianhong Wu
Tilahun, Getachew Teshome
Demie, Seleshi
Eyob, Alemayehu
Stochastic model of measles transmission dynamics with double dose vaccination
title Stochastic model of measles transmission dynamics with double dose vaccination
title_full Stochastic model of measles transmission dynamics with double dose vaccination
title_fullStr Stochastic model of measles transmission dynamics with double dose vaccination
title_full_unstemmed Stochastic model of measles transmission dynamics with double dose vaccination
title_short Stochastic model of measles transmission dynamics with double dose vaccination
title_sort stochastic model of measles transmission dynamics with double dose vaccination
topic Primer Articles for Infectious Disease Modelling; Edited by Dr. Gerardo Chowell, Dr. Jianhong Wu
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7388189/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32775847
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.06.003
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