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Time series analysis of COVID-19 infection curve: A change-point perspective

In this paper, we model the trajectory of the cumulative confirmed cases and deaths of COVID-19 (in log scale) via a piecewise linear trend model. The model naturally captures the phase transitions of the epidemic growth rate via change-points and further enjoys great interpretability due to its sem...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Jiang, Feiyu, Zhao, Zifeng, Shao, Xiaofeng
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier B.V. 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7392157/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32836681
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.07.039