Estimation of Coronavirus Disease Case-Fatality Risk in Real Time

We ran a simulation comparing 3 methods to calculate case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease using parameters described in previous studies. Case-fatality risk calculated from these methods all are biased at the early stage of the epidemic. When comparing real-time case-fatality risk, the current...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Ge, Yang, Sun, Shengzhi
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2020
Materias:
Research Letter
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7392444/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32315282
http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2608.201096
Descripción
Sumario:We ran a simulation comparing 3 methods to calculate case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease using parameters described in previous studies. Case-fatality risk calculated from these methods all are biased at the early stage of the epidemic. When comparing real-time case-fatality risk, the current trajectory of the epidemic should be considered.

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