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Estimation of Coronavirus Disease Case-Fatality Risk in Real Time

We ran a simulation comparing 3 methods to calculate case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease using parameters described in previous studies. Case-fatality risk calculated from these methods all are biased at the early stage of the epidemic. When comparing real-time case-fatality risk, the current...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Ge, Yang, Sun, Shengzhi
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7392444/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32315282
http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2608.201096
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author Ge, Yang
Sun, Shengzhi
author_facet Ge, Yang
Sun, Shengzhi
author_sort Ge, Yang
collection PubMed
description We ran a simulation comparing 3 methods to calculate case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease using parameters described in previous studies. Case-fatality risk calculated from these methods all are biased at the early stage of the epidemic. When comparing real-time case-fatality risk, the current trajectory of the epidemic should be considered.
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spelling pubmed-73924442020-08-06 Estimation of Coronavirus Disease Case-Fatality Risk in Real Time Ge, Yang Sun, Shengzhi Emerg Infect Dis Research Letter We ran a simulation comparing 3 methods to calculate case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease using parameters described in previous studies. Case-fatality risk calculated from these methods all are biased at the early stage of the epidemic. When comparing real-time case-fatality risk, the current trajectory of the epidemic should be considered. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2020-08 /pmc/articles/PMC7392444/ /pubmed/32315282 http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2608.201096 Text en https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is a publication of the U.S. Government. This publication is in the public domain and is therefore without copyright. All text from this work may be reprinted freely. Use of these materials should be properly cited.
spellingShingle Research Letter
Ge, Yang
Sun, Shengzhi
Estimation of Coronavirus Disease Case-Fatality Risk in Real Time
title Estimation of Coronavirus Disease Case-Fatality Risk in Real Time
title_full Estimation of Coronavirus Disease Case-Fatality Risk in Real Time
title_fullStr Estimation of Coronavirus Disease Case-Fatality Risk in Real Time
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of Coronavirus Disease Case-Fatality Risk in Real Time
title_short Estimation of Coronavirus Disease Case-Fatality Risk in Real Time
title_sort estimation of coronavirus disease case-fatality risk in real time
topic Research Letter
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7392444/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32315282
http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2608.201096
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