Cargando…

Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks

Collective risks permeate society, triggering social dilemmas in which working toward a common goal is impeded by selfish interests. One such dilemma is mitigating runaway climate change. To study the social aspects of climate-change mitigation, we organized an experimental game and asked volunteer...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Wang, Zhen, Jusup, Marko, Guo, Hao, Shi, Lei, Geček, Sunčana, Anand, Madhur, Perc, Matjaž, Bauch, Chris T., Kurths, Jürgen, Boccaletti, Stefano, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: National Academy of Sciences 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7395434/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32669434
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1922345117
_version_ 1783565407535235072
author Wang, Zhen
Jusup, Marko
Guo, Hao
Shi, Lei
Geček, Sunčana
Anand, Madhur
Perc, Matjaž
Bauch, Chris T.
Kurths, Jürgen
Boccaletti, Stefano
Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
author_facet Wang, Zhen
Jusup, Marko
Guo, Hao
Shi, Lei
Geček, Sunčana
Anand, Madhur
Perc, Matjaž
Bauch, Chris T.
Kurths, Jürgen
Boccaletti, Stefano
Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
author_sort Wang, Zhen
collection PubMed
description Collective risks permeate society, triggering social dilemmas in which working toward a common goal is impeded by selfish interests. One such dilemma is mitigating runaway climate change. To study the social aspects of climate-change mitigation, we organized an experimental game and asked volunteer groups of three different sizes to invest toward a common mitigation goal. If investments reached a preset target, volunteers would avoid all consequences and convert their remaining capital into monetary payouts. In the opposite case, however, volunteers would lose all their capital with 50% probability. The dilemma was, therefore, whether to invest one’s own capital or wait for others to step in. We find that communicating sentiment and outlook helps to resolve the dilemma by a fundamental shift in investment patterns. Groups in which communication is allowed invest persistently and hardly ever give up, even when their current investment deficits are substantial. The improved investment patterns are robust to group size, although larger groups are harder to coordinate, as evidenced by their overall lower success frequencies. A clustering algorithm reveals three behavioral types and shows that communication reduces the abundance of the free-riding type. Climate-change mitigation, however, is achieved mainly by cooperator and altruist types stepping up and increasing contributions as the failure looms. Meanwhile, contributions from free riders remain flat throughout the game. This reveals that the mechanisms behind avoiding collective risks depend on an interaction between behavioral type, communication, and timing.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-7395434
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2020
publisher National Academy of Sciences
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-73954342020-08-07 Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks Wang, Zhen Jusup, Marko Guo, Hao Shi, Lei Geček, Sunčana Anand, Madhur Perc, Matjaž Bauch, Chris T. Kurths, Jürgen Boccaletti, Stefano Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Physical Sciences Collective risks permeate society, triggering social dilemmas in which working toward a common goal is impeded by selfish interests. One such dilemma is mitigating runaway climate change. To study the social aspects of climate-change mitigation, we organized an experimental game and asked volunteer groups of three different sizes to invest toward a common mitigation goal. If investments reached a preset target, volunteers would avoid all consequences and convert their remaining capital into monetary payouts. In the opposite case, however, volunteers would lose all their capital with 50% probability. The dilemma was, therefore, whether to invest one’s own capital or wait for others to step in. We find that communicating sentiment and outlook helps to resolve the dilemma by a fundamental shift in investment patterns. Groups in which communication is allowed invest persistently and hardly ever give up, even when their current investment deficits are substantial. The improved investment patterns are robust to group size, although larger groups are harder to coordinate, as evidenced by their overall lower success frequencies. A clustering algorithm reveals three behavioral types and shows that communication reduces the abundance of the free-riding type. Climate-change mitigation, however, is achieved mainly by cooperator and altruist types stepping up and increasing contributions as the failure looms. Meanwhile, contributions from free riders remain flat throughout the game. This reveals that the mechanisms behind avoiding collective risks depend on an interaction between behavioral type, communication, and timing. National Academy of Sciences 2020-07-28 2020-07-15 /pmc/articles/PMC7395434/ /pubmed/32669434 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1922345117 Text en Copyright © 2020 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (CC BY) (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Physical Sciences
Wang, Zhen
Jusup, Marko
Guo, Hao
Shi, Lei
Geček, Sunčana
Anand, Madhur
Perc, Matjaž
Bauch, Chris T.
Kurths, Jürgen
Boccaletti, Stefano
Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks
title Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks
title_full Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks
title_fullStr Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks
title_full_unstemmed Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks
title_short Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks
title_sort communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks
topic Physical Sciences
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7395434/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32669434
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1922345117
work_keys_str_mv AT wangzhen communicatingsentimentandoutlookreversesinactionagainstcollectiverisks
AT jusupmarko communicatingsentimentandoutlookreversesinactionagainstcollectiverisks
AT guohao communicatingsentimentandoutlookreversesinactionagainstcollectiverisks
AT shilei communicatingsentimentandoutlookreversesinactionagainstcollectiverisks
AT geceksuncana communicatingsentimentandoutlookreversesinactionagainstcollectiverisks
AT anandmadhur communicatingsentimentandoutlookreversesinactionagainstcollectiverisks
AT percmatjaz communicatingsentimentandoutlookreversesinactionagainstcollectiverisks
AT bauchchrist communicatingsentimentandoutlookreversesinactionagainstcollectiverisks
AT kurthsjurgen communicatingsentimentandoutlookreversesinactionagainstcollectiverisks
AT boccalettistefano communicatingsentimentandoutlookreversesinactionagainstcollectiverisks
AT schellnhuberhansjoachim communicatingsentimentandoutlookreversesinactionagainstcollectiverisks