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Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks
Collective risks permeate society, triggering social dilemmas in which working toward a common goal is impeded by selfish interests. One such dilemma is mitigating runaway climate change. To study the social aspects of climate-change mitigation, we organized an experimental game and asked volunteer...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
National Academy of Sciences
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7395434/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32669434 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1922345117 |
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author | Wang, Zhen Jusup, Marko Guo, Hao Shi, Lei Geček, Sunčana Anand, Madhur Perc, Matjaž Bauch, Chris T. Kurths, Jürgen Boccaletti, Stefano Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim |
author_facet | Wang, Zhen Jusup, Marko Guo, Hao Shi, Lei Geček, Sunčana Anand, Madhur Perc, Matjaž Bauch, Chris T. Kurths, Jürgen Boccaletti, Stefano Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim |
author_sort | Wang, Zhen |
collection | PubMed |
description | Collective risks permeate society, triggering social dilemmas in which working toward a common goal is impeded by selfish interests. One such dilemma is mitigating runaway climate change. To study the social aspects of climate-change mitigation, we organized an experimental game and asked volunteer groups of three different sizes to invest toward a common mitigation goal. If investments reached a preset target, volunteers would avoid all consequences and convert their remaining capital into monetary payouts. In the opposite case, however, volunteers would lose all their capital with 50% probability. The dilemma was, therefore, whether to invest one’s own capital or wait for others to step in. We find that communicating sentiment and outlook helps to resolve the dilemma by a fundamental shift in investment patterns. Groups in which communication is allowed invest persistently and hardly ever give up, even when their current investment deficits are substantial. The improved investment patterns are robust to group size, although larger groups are harder to coordinate, as evidenced by their overall lower success frequencies. A clustering algorithm reveals three behavioral types and shows that communication reduces the abundance of the free-riding type. Climate-change mitigation, however, is achieved mainly by cooperator and altruist types stepping up and increasing contributions as the failure looms. Meanwhile, contributions from free riders remain flat throughout the game. This reveals that the mechanisms behind avoiding collective risks depend on an interaction between behavioral type, communication, and timing. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7395434 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | National Academy of Sciences |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-73954342020-08-07 Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks Wang, Zhen Jusup, Marko Guo, Hao Shi, Lei Geček, Sunčana Anand, Madhur Perc, Matjaž Bauch, Chris T. Kurths, Jürgen Boccaletti, Stefano Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Physical Sciences Collective risks permeate society, triggering social dilemmas in which working toward a common goal is impeded by selfish interests. One such dilemma is mitigating runaway climate change. To study the social aspects of climate-change mitigation, we organized an experimental game and asked volunteer groups of three different sizes to invest toward a common mitigation goal. If investments reached a preset target, volunteers would avoid all consequences and convert their remaining capital into monetary payouts. In the opposite case, however, volunteers would lose all their capital with 50% probability. The dilemma was, therefore, whether to invest one’s own capital or wait for others to step in. We find that communicating sentiment and outlook helps to resolve the dilemma by a fundamental shift in investment patterns. Groups in which communication is allowed invest persistently and hardly ever give up, even when their current investment deficits are substantial. The improved investment patterns are robust to group size, although larger groups are harder to coordinate, as evidenced by their overall lower success frequencies. A clustering algorithm reveals three behavioral types and shows that communication reduces the abundance of the free-riding type. Climate-change mitigation, however, is achieved mainly by cooperator and altruist types stepping up and increasing contributions as the failure looms. Meanwhile, contributions from free riders remain flat throughout the game. This reveals that the mechanisms behind avoiding collective risks depend on an interaction between behavioral type, communication, and timing. National Academy of Sciences 2020-07-28 2020-07-15 /pmc/articles/PMC7395434/ /pubmed/32669434 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1922345117 Text en Copyright © 2020 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (CC BY) (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Physical Sciences Wang, Zhen Jusup, Marko Guo, Hao Shi, Lei Geček, Sunčana Anand, Madhur Perc, Matjaž Bauch, Chris T. Kurths, Jürgen Boccaletti, Stefano Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks |
title | Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks |
title_full | Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks |
title_fullStr | Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks |
title_full_unstemmed | Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks |
title_short | Communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks |
title_sort | communicating sentiment and outlook reverses inaction against collective risks |
topic | Physical Sciences |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7395434/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32669434 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1922345117 |
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