Using traveller-derived cases in Henan Province to quantify the spread of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China

Wuhan shutdown was implemented on January 23 and the first level response to public health emergencies (FLRPHE) was launched over the country, and then China got the outbreak of COVID-19 under control. A mathematical model is established to study the transmission of COVID-19 in Wuhan. This research...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Song, Haitao, Li, Feng, Jia, Zhongwei, Jin, Zhen, Liu, Shengqiang
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Netherlands 2020
Materias:
Original Paper
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7398862/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32836816
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-020-05859-1
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author Song, Haitao
Li, Feng
Jia, Zhongwei
Jin, Zhen
Liu, Shengqiang
author_facet Song, Haitao
Li, Feng
Jia, Zhongwei
Jin, Zhen
Liu, Shengqiang
author_sort Song, Haitao
collection PubMed
description Wuhan shutdown was implemented on January 23 and the first level response to public health emergencies (FLRPHE) was launched over the country, and then China got the outbreak of COVID-19 under control. A mathematical model is established to study the transmission of COVID-19 in Wuhan. This research investigates the spread of COVID-19 in Wuhan and assesses the effectiveness of control measures including the Wuhan city travel ban and FLRPHE. Based on the dynamical analysis and data fitting, the transmission of COVID-19 in Wuhan is estimated and the effects of control measures including Wuhan city travel ban and FLRPHE are investigated. According to the assumptions, the basic reproduction number for COVID-19 estimated that for Wuhan equal to 7.53 and there are [Formula: see text] infectious people in Wuhan as of January 23. The interventions including the Wuhan city travel ban and FLRPHE reduce the size of peak and the cumulative number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Wuhan by 99%. The extraordinary efforts implemented by China effectively contain the transmission of COVID-19 and protect public health in China.
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spelling pubmed-73988622020-08-04 Using traveller-derived cases in Henan Province to quantify the spread of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China Song, Haitao Li, Feng Jia, Zhongwei Jin, Zhen Liu, Shengqiang Nonlinear Dyn Original Paper Wuhan shutdown was implemented on January 23 and the first level response to public health emergencies (FLRPHE) was launched over the country, and then China got the outbreak of COVID-19 under control. A mathematical model is established to study the transmission of COVID-19 in Wuhan. This research investigates the spread of COVID-19 in Wuhan and assesses the effectiveness of control measures including the Wuhan city travel ban and FLRPHE. Based on the dynamical analysis and data fitting, the transmission of COVID-19 in Wuhan is estimated and the effects of control measures including Wuhan city travel ban and FLRPHE are investigated. According to the assumptions, the basic reproduction number for COVID-19 estimated that for Wuhan equal to 7.53 and there are [Formula: see text] infectious people in Wuhan as of January 23. The interventions including the Wuhan city travel ban and FLRPHE reduce the size of peak and the cumulative number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Wuhan by 99%. The extraordinary efforts implemented by China effectively contain the transmission of COVID-19 and protect public health in China. Springer Netherlands 2020-08-04 2020 /pmc/articles/PMC7398862/ /pubmed/32836816 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-020-05859-1 Text en © Springer Nature B.V. 2020 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Original Paper
Song, Haitao
Li, Feng
Jia, Zhongwei
Jin, Zhen
Liu, Shengqiang
Using traveller-derived cases in Henan Province to quantify the spread of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China
title Using traveller-derived cases in Henan Province to quantify the spread of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China
title_full Using traveller-derived cases in Henan Province to quantify the spread of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China
title_fullStr Using traveller-derived cases in Henan Province to quantify the spread of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China
title_full_unstemmed Using traveller-derived cases in Henan Province to quantify the spread of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China
title_short Using traveller-derived cases in Henan Province to quantify the spread of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China
title_sort using traveller-derived cases in henan province to quantify the spread of covid-19 in wuhan, china
topic Original Paper
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7398862/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32836816
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-020-05859-1
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