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The first casualty of an epidemic is evidence

BACKGROUND: The COVID‐19 has posed a wide range of urgent questions: about the disease, testing, immunity, treatments, and outcomes. Extreme situations, such as pandemics, call for exceptional measures. However, this threatens the production and application of evidence. METHODS: This article applies...

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Autor principal: Hofmann, Bjørn
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7405116/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32700472
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jep.13443
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author Hofmann, Bjørn
author_facet Hofmann, Bjørn
author_sort Hofmann, Bjørn
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description BACKGROUND: The COVID‐19 has posed a wide range of urgent questions: about the disease, testing, immunity, treatments, and outcomes. Extreme situations, such as pandemics, call for exceptional measures. However, this threatens the production and application of evidence. METHODS: This article applies standard categories in epistemology to analyse the pandemic in terms of four kinds of uncertainty: Risk, Fundamental uncertainty, Ignorance, and Ambiguity. RESULTS: Mapping the uncertainties of the pandemic onto the four types of uncertainty directs evidence production towards specific tasks in order to address the challenges of the pandemic: Eliminating ambiguity, being alert to the unknown, and gathering data to estimate risks are crucial to preserve evidence and save lives. CONCLUSION: In order to avoid fake facts and to provide sustainable solutions, we need to pay attention to the various kinds of uncertainty. Producing high‐quality evidence is the solution, not the problem.
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spelling pubmed-74051162020-08-05 The first casualty of an epidemic is evidence Hofmann, Bjørn J Eval Clin Pract Commentary BACKGROUND: The COVID‐19 has posed a wide range of urgent questions: about the disease, testing, immunity, treatments, and outcomes. Extreme situations, such as pandemics, call for exceptional measures. However, this threatens the production and application of evidence. METHODS: This article applies standard categories in epistemology to analyse the pandemic in terms of four kinds of uncertainty: Risk, Fundamental uncertainty, Ignorance, and Ambiguity. RESULTS: Mapping the uncertainties of the pandemic onto the four types of uncertainty directs evidence production towards specific tasks in order to address the challenges of the pandemic: Eliminating ambiguity, being alert to the unknown, and gathering data to estimate risks are crucial to preserve evidence and save lives. CONCLUSION: In order to avoid fake facts and to provide sustainable solutions, we need to pay attention to the various kinds of uncertainty. Producing high‐quality evidence is the solution, not the problem. John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2020-07-22 2020-10 /pmc/articles/PMC7405116/ /pubmed/32700472 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jep.13443 Text en © 2020 The Author. Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes.
spellingShingle Commentary
Hofmann, Bjørn
The first casualty of an epidemic is evidence
title The first casualty of an epidemic is evidence
title_full The first casualty of an epidemic is evidence
title_fullStr The first casualty of an epidemic is evidence
title_full_unstemmed The first casualty of an epidemic is evidence
title_short The first casualty of an epidemic is evidence
title_sort first casualty of an epidemic is evidence
topic Commentary
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7405116/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32700472
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jep.13443
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