Cargando…
If the Objective is Herd Immunity, on Whom Should it be Built?
Assuming that there is no other solution than herd immunity in front of the current pandemic, on which groups of citizens should we build this herd immunity? Given the fact that young people face a mortality rate which is at least a thousand times smaller than people aged 70 years and more, there is...
Autor principal: | |
---|---|
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer Netherlands
2020
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7417852/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32836866 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10640-020-00504-2 |
_version_ | 1783569580940066816 |
---|---|
author | Gollier, Christian |
author_facet | Gollier, Christian |
author_sort | Gollier, Christian |
collection | PubMed |
description | Assuming that there is no other solution than herd immunity in front of the current pandemic, on which groups of citizens should we build this herd immunity? Given the fact that young people face a mortality rate which is at least a thousand times smaller than people aged 70 years and more, there is a simple rational to build it on these younger generations. The transfer of some mortality risk from the elderly to younger people raises difficult ethical issues. However, none of the familiar moral or operational guidelines (equality of rights, VSL, QALY, ...) that have been used in the Western world over the last century weights the value of young lives 1000 times or more than the lives of the elders. This suggests that Society could offer covid protection to the elders by recommending them to remain confined as long as this herd immunity has not been attained by the younger generations. This would be a potent demonstration of intergenerational solidarity towards the most vulnerable people in our community. The welfare gain of this age-specific deconfinement strategy is huge, as it can reduce the global death toll by more than 80% as compared to a strategy of non-targeted herd immunity. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7417852 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | Springer Netherlands |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-74178522020-08-11 If the Objective is Herd Immunity, on Whom Should it be Built? Gollier, Christian Environ Resour Econ (Dordr) Article Assuming that there is no other solution than herd immunity in front of the current pandemic, on which groups of citizens should we build this herd immunity? Given the fact that young people face a mortality rate which is at least a thousand times smaller than people aged 70 years and more, there is a simple rational to build it on these younger generations. The transfer of some mortality risk from the elderly to younger people raises difficult ethical issues. However, none of the familiar moral or operational guidelines (equality of rights, VSL, QALY, ...) that have been used in the Western world over the last century weights the value of young lives 1000 times or more than the lives of the elders. This suggests that Society could offer covid protection to the elders by recommending them to remain confined as long as this herd immunity has not been attained by the younger generations. This would be a potent demonstration of intergenerational solidarity towards the most vulnerable people in our community. The welfare gain of this age-specific deconfinement strategy is huge, as it can reduce the global death toll by more than 80% as compared to a strategy of non-targeted herd immunity. Springer Netherlands 2020-08-11 2020 /pmc/articles/PMC7417852/ /pubmed/32836866 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10640-020-00504-2 Text en © Springer Nature B.V. 2020 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Article Gollier, Christian If the Objective is Herd Immunity, on Whom Should it be Built? |
title | If the Objective is Herd Immunity, on Whom Should it be Built? |
title_full | If the Objective is Herd Immunity, on Whom Should it be Built? |
title_fullStr | If the Objective is Herd Immunity, on Whom Should it be Built? |
title_full_unstemmed | If the Objective is Herd Immunity, on Whom Should it be Built? |
title_short | If the Objective is Herd Immunity, on Whom Should it be Built? |
title_sort | if the objective is herd immunity, on whom should it be built? |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7417852/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32836866 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10640-020-00504-2 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT gollierchristian iftheobjectiveisherdimmunityonwhomshoulditbebuilt |