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Impact of COVID-19 outbreak on asymmetric multifractality of gold and oil prices

This paper examines the impacts of COVID-19 on the multifractality of gold and oil prices based on upward and downward trends. We apply the Asymmetric Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (A-MF-DFA) approach to 15-min interval intraday data. The results show strong evidence of asymmetric mult...

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Autores principales: Mensi, Walid, Sensoy, Ahmet, Vo, Xuan Vinh, Kang, Sang Hoon
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7420105/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34173419
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101829
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author Mensi, Walid
Sensoy, Ahmet
Vo, Xuan Vinh
Kang, Sang Hoon
author_facet Mensi, Walid
Sensoy, Ahmet
Vo, Xuan Vinh
Kang, Sang Hoon
author_sort Mensi, Walid
collection PubMed
description This paper examines the impacts of COVID-19 on the multifractality of gold and oil prices based on upward and downward trends. We apply the Asymmetric Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (A-MF-DFA) approach to 15-min interval intraday data. The results show strong evidence of asymmetric multifractality that increases as the fractality scale increases. Moreover, multifractality is especially higher in the downside (upside) trend for Brent oil (gold), and this excess asymmetry has been more accentuated during the COVID-19 outbreak. Before the outbreak, the gold (oil) market was more inefficient during downward (upward) trends. During the COVID-19 outbreak period, we see that the results have changed. More precisely, we find that gold (oil) is more inefficient during upward (downward) trends. Gold and oil markets have been inefficient, particularly during the outbreak. The efficiency of gold and oil markets is sensitive to scales, market trends, and to the pandemic outbreak, highlighting the investor sentiment effect.
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spelling pubmed-74201052020-08-12 Impact of COVID-19 outbreak on asymmetric multifractality of gold and oil prices Mensi, Walid Sensoy, Ahmet Vo, Xuan Vinh Kang, Sang Hoon Resour Policy Article This paper examines the impacts of COVID-19 on the multifractality of gold and oil prices based on upward and downward trends. We apply the Asymmetric Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (A-MF-DFA) approach to 15-min interval intraday data. The results show strong evidence of asymmetric multifractality that increases as the fractality scale increases. Moreover, multifractality is especially higher in the downside (upside) trend for Brent oil (gold), and this excess asymmetry has been more accentuated during the COVID-19 outbreak. Before the outbreak, the gold (oil) market was more inefficient during downward (upward) trends. During the COVID-19 outbreak period, we see that the results have changed. More precisely, we find that gold (oil) is more inefficient during upward (downward) trends. Gold and oil markets have been inefficient, particularly during the outbreak. The efficiency of gold and oil markets is sensitive to scales, market trends, and to the pandemic outbreak, highlighting the investor sentiment effect. Elsevier Ltd. 2020-12 2020-08-12 /pmc/articles/PMC7420105/ /pubmed/34173419 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101829 Text en © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Mensi, Walid
Sensoy, Ahmet
Vo, Xuan Vinh
Kang, Sang Hoon
Impact of COVID-19 outbreak on asymmetric multifractality of gold and oil prices
title Impact of COVID-19 outbreak on asymmetric multifractality of gold and oil prices
title_full Impact of COVID-19 outbreak on asymmetric multifractality of gold and oil prices
title_fullStr Impact of COVID-19 outbreak on asymmetric multifractality of gold and oil prices
title_full_unstemmed Impact of COVID-19 outbreak on asymmetric multifractality of gold and oil prices
title_short Impact of COVID-19 outbreak on asymmetric multifractality of gold and oil prices
title_sort impact of covid-19 outbreak on asymmetric multifractality of gold and oil prices
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7420105/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34173419
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101829
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