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The dynamics of COVID-19 with quarantined and isolation

In the present paper, we formulate a new mathematical model for the dynamics of COVID-19 with quarantine and isolation. Initially, we provide a brief discussion on the model formulation and provide relevant mathematical results. Then, we consider the fractal-fractional derivative in Atangana–Baleanu...

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Autores principales: Khan, Muhammad Altaf, Atangana, Abdon, Alzahrani, Ebraheem, Fatmawati
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7427274/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32834821
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13662-020-02882-9
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author Khan, Muhammad Altaf
Atangana, Abdon
Alzahrani, Ebraheem
Fatmawati
author_facet Khan, Muhammad Altaf
Atangana, Abdon
Alzahrani, Ebraheem
Fatmawati
author_sort Khan, Muhammad Altaf
collection PubMed
description In the present paper, we formulate a new mathematical model for the dynamics of COVID-19 with quarantine and isolation. Initially, we provide a brief discussion on the model formulation and provide relevant mathematical results. Then, we consider the fractal-fractional derivative in Atangana–Baleanu sense, and we also generalize the model. The generalized model is used to obtain its stability results. We show that the model is locally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text] . Further, we consider the real cases reported in China since January 11 till April 9, 2020. The reported cases have been used for obtaining the real parameters and the basic reproduction number for the given period, [Formula: see text] . The data of reported cases versus model for classical and fractal-factional order are presented. We show that the fractal-fractional order model provides the best fitting to the reported cases. The fractional mathematical model is solved by a novel numerical technique based on Newton approach, which is useful and reliable. A brief discussion on the graphical results using the novel numerical procedures are shown. Some key parameters that show significance in the disease elimination from the society are explored.
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spelling pubmed-74272742020-08-14 The dynamics of COVID-19 with quarantined and isolation Khan, Muhammad Altaf Atangana, Abdon Alzahrani, Ebraheem Fatmawati Adv Differ Equ Research In the present paper, we formulate a new mathematical model for the dynamics of COVID-19 with quarantine and isolation. Initially, we provide a brief discussion on the model formulation and provide relevant mathematical results. Then, we consider the fractal-fractional derivative in Atangana–Baleanu sense, and we also generalize the model. The generalized model is used to obtain its stability results. We show that the model is locally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text] . Further, we consider the real cases reported in China since January 11 till April 9, 2020. The reported cases have been used for obtaining the real parameters and the basic reproduction number for the given period, [Formula: see text] . The data of reported cases versus model for classical and fractal-factional order are presented. We show that the fractal-fractional order model provides the best fitting to the reported cases. The fractional mathematical model is solved by a novel numerical technique based on Newton approach, which is useful and reliable. A brief discussion on the graphical results using the novel numerical procedures are shown. Some key parameters that show significance in the disease elimination from the society are explored. Springer International Publishing 2020-08-14 2020 /pmc/articles/PMC7427274/ /pubmed/32834821 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13662-020-02882-9 Text en © The Author(s) 2020 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Research
Khan, Muhammad Altaf
Atangana, Abdon
Alzahrani, Ebraheem
Fatmawati
The dynamics of COVID-19 with quarantined and isolation
title The dynamics of COVID-19 with quarantined and isolation
title_full The dynamics of COVID-19 with quarantined and isolation
title_fullStr The dynamics of COVID-19 with quarantined and isolation
title_full_unstemmed The dynamics of COVID-19 with quarantined and isolation
title_short The dynamics of COVID-19 with quarantined and isolation
title_sort dynamics of covid-19 with quarantined and isolation
topic Research
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7427274/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32834821
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13662-020-02882-9
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