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Early spread of COVID-19 in Romania: imported cases from Italy and human-to-human transmission networks

We describe the early spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) and the first human-to-human transmission networks, in Romania. We profiled the first 147 cases referring to sex, age, place of residence, probable country of infection, return day to Romania, COVID-19 confirmation date and the probabl...

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Autores principales: Hâncean, Marian-Gabriel, Perc, Matjaž, Lerner, Jürgen
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Royal Society 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7428275/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32874663
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.200780
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author Hâncean, Marian-Gabriel
Perc, Matjaž
Lerner, Jürgen
author_facet Hâncean, Marian-Gabriel
Perc, Matjaž
Lerner, Jürgen
author_sort Hâncean, Marian-Gabriel
collection PubMed
description We describe the early spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) and the first human-to-human transmission networks, in Romania. We profiled the first 147 cases referring to sex, age, place of residence, probable country of infection, return day to Romania, COVID-19 confirmation date and the probable modes of COVID-19 transmissions. Also, we analysed human-to-human transmission networks and explored their structural features and time dynamics. In Romania, local cycles of transmission were preceded by imported cases, predominantly from Italy. We observed an average of 4.8 days (s.d. = 4.0) between the arrival to a Romanian county and COVID-19 confirmation. Furthermore, among the first 147 COVID-19 patients, 88 were imported cases (64 carriers from Italy), 54 were domestic cases, while for five cases the source of infection was unknown. The early human-to-human transmission networks illustrated a limited geographical dispersion, the presence of super-spreaders and the risk of COVID-19 nosocomial infections. COVID-19 occurred in Romania through case importation from Italy. The largest share of the Romanian diaspora is concentrated especially in the northern parts of Italy, heavily affected by COVID-19. Human mobility (including migration) accounts for the COVID-19 transmission and it should be given consideration while tailoring prevention measures.
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spelling pubmed-74282752020-08-31 Early spread of COVID-19 in Romania: imported cases from Italy and human-to-human transmission networks Hâncean, Marian-Gabriel Perc, Matjaž Lerner, Jürgen R Soc Open Sci Mathematics We describe the early spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) and the first human-to-human transmission networks, in Romania. We profiled the first 147 cases referring to sex, age, place of residence, probable country of infection, return day to Romania, COVID-19 confirmation date and the probable modes of COVID-19 transmissions. Also, we analysed human-to-human transmission networks and explored their structural features and time dynamics. In Romania, local cycles of transmission were preceded by imported cases, predominantly from Italy. We observed an average of 4.8 days (s.d. = 4.0) between the arrival to a Romanian county and COVID-19 confirmation. Furthermore, among the first 147 COVID-19 patients, 88 were imported cases (64 carriers from Italy), 54 were domestic cases, while for five cases the source of infection was unknown. The early human-to-human transmission networks illustrated a limited geographical dispersion, the presence of super-spreaders and the risk of COVID-19 nosocomial infections. COVID-19 occurred in Romania through case importation from Italy. The largest share of the Romanian diaspora is concentrated especially in the northern parts of Italy, heavily affected by COVID-19. Human mobility (including migration) accounts for the COVID-19 transmission and it should be given consideration while tailoring prevention measures. The Royal Society 2020-07-22 /pmc/articles/PMC7428275/ /pubmed/32874663 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.200780 Text en © 2020 The Authors. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Mathematics
Hâncean, Marian-Gabriel
Perc, Matjaž
Lerner, Jürgen
Early spread of COVID-19 in Romania: imported cases from Italy and human-to-human transmission networks
title Early spread of COVID-19 in Romania: imported cases from Italy and human-to-human transmission networks
title_full Early spread of COVID-19 in Romania: imported cases from Italy and human-to-human transmission networks
title_fullStr Early spread of COVID-19 in Romania: imported cases from Italy and human-to-human transmission networks
title_full_unstemmed Early spread of COVID-19 in Romania: imported cases from Italy and human-to-human transmission networks
title_short Early spread of COVID-19 in Romania: imported cases from Italy and human-to-human transmission networks
title_sort early spread of covid-19 in romania: imported cases from italy and human-to-human transmission networks
topic Mathematics
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7428275/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32874663
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.200780
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