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A note on Corona-virus (Covid-19) Infection in Italy
A statistical analysis of the corona-virus (Covid-19) infective process has been performed by a cooperative action during the period February-June 2020. A good analysis has been obtained by using an entropic model typical of phenomena where statistical entropy-negaentropy balance is expected to play...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7432542/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32834917 http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-020-00674-4 |
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author | Pagano, Angelo Pagano, Emanuele V. Pagano, Grazia Spartà, Santi |
author_facet | Pagano, Angelo Pagano, Emanuele V. Pagano, Grazia Spartà, Santi |
author_sort | Pagano, Angelo |
collection | PubMed |
description | A statistical analysis of the corona-virus (Covid-19) infective process has been performed by a cooperative action during the period February-June 2020. A good analysis has been obtained by using an entropic model typical of phenomena where statistical entropy-negaentropy balance is expected to play a major role. A saturation value of the infected humans was observed, and the number of people potentially (asymptomatic) involved in the process was determined with an accuracy of 15% in the Italian case, as relevant example. The saturation value represents about 16% of the total (symptomatic + asymptomatic) involved population in the process. The stability of the observed saturation level with the time shows that the governmental lockdown prescriptions, guided by scientists (virologists) have been effective to contain the diffusion of the virus and the associated human mortality. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7432542 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | Springer Berlin Heidelberg |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-74325422020-08-18 A note on Corona-virus (Covid-19) Infection in Italy Pagano, Angelo Pagano, Emanuele V. Pagano, Grazia Spartà, Santi Eur Phys J Plus Regular Article A statistical analysis of the corona-virus (Covid-19) infective process has been performed by a cooperative action during the period February-June 2020. A good analysis has been obtained by using an entropic model typical of phenomena where statistical entropy-negaentropy balance is expected to play a major role. A saturation value of the infected humans was observed, and the number of people potentially (asymptomatic) involved in the process was determined with an accuracy of 15% in the Italian case, as relevant example. The saturation value represents about 16% of the total (symptomatic + asymptomatic) involved population in the process. The stability of the observed saturation level with the time shows that the governmental lockdown prescriptions, guided by scientists (virologists) have been effective to contain the diffusion of the virus and the associated human mortality. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2020-08-18 2020 /pmc/articles/PMC7432542/ /pubmed/32834917 http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-020-00674-4 Text en © Società Italiana di Fisica and Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2020 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Regular Article Pagano, Angelo Pagano, Emanuele V. Pagano, Grazia Spartà, Santi A note on Corona-virus (Covid-19) Infection in Italy |
title | A note on Corona-virus (Covid-19) Infection in Italy |
title_full | A note on Corona-virus (Covid-19) Infection in Italy |
title_fullStr | A note on Corona-virus (Covid-19) Infection in Italy |
title_full_unstemmed | A note on Corona-virus (Covid-19) Infection in Italy |
title_short | A note on Corona-virus (Covid-19) Infection in Italy |
title_sort | note on corona-virus (covid-19) infection in italy |
topic | Regular Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7432542/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32834917 http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-020-00674-4 |
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