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Generated time-series prediction data of COVID-19′s daily infections in Brazil by using recurrent neural networks

In light of the COVID-19 pandemic that has struck the world since the end of 2019, many endeavors have been carried out to overcome this crisis. Taking into consideration the uncertainty as a feature of forecasting, this data article introduces long-term time-series predictions for the virus's...

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Autor principal: Hawas, Mohamed
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7437445/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32839733
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2020.106175
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author Hawas, Mohamed
author_facet Hawas, Mohamed
author_sort Hawas, Mohamed
collection PubMed
description In light of the COVID-19 pandemic that has struck the world since the end of 2019, many endeavors have been carried out to overcome this crisis. Taking into consideration the uncertainty as a feature of forecasting, this data article introduces long-term time-series predictions for the virus's daily infections in Brazil by training forecasting models on limited raw data (30 time-steps and 40 time-steps alternatives). The primary reuse potential of this forecasting data is to enable decision-makers to develop action plans against the pandemic, and to help researchers working in infection prevention and control to: (1) explore limited data usage in predicting infections. (2) develop a reinforcement learning model on top of this data-lake, which can perform an online game between the trained models to generate a new capable model for predicting future true data. The prediction data was generated by training 4200 recurrent neural networks (54 to 84 days validation periods) on raw data from Johns Hopkins University's online repository, to pave the way for generating reliable extended long-term predictions.
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spelling pubmed-74374452020-08-20 Generated time-series prediction data of COVID-19′s daily infections in Brazil by using recurrent neural networks Hawas, Mohamed Data Brief Computer Science In light of the COVID-19 pandemic that has struck the world since the end of 2019, many endeavors have been carried out to overcome this crisis. Taking into consideration the uncertainty as a feature of forecasting, this data article introduces long-term time-series predictions for the virus's daily infections in Brazil by training forecasting models on limited raw data (30 time-steps and 40 time-steps alternatives). The primary reuse potential of this forecasting data is to enable decision-makers to develop action plans against the pandemic, and to help researchers working in infection prevention and control to: (1) explore limited data usage in predicting infections. (2) develop a reinforcement learning model on top of this data-lake, which can perform an online game between the trained models to generate a new capable model for predicting future true data. The prediction data was generated by training 4200 recurrent neural networks (54 to 84 days validation periods) on raw data from Johns Hopkins University's online repository, to pave the way for generating reliable extended long-term predictions. Elsevier 2020-08-19 /pmc/articles/PMC7437445/ /pubmed/32839733 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2020.106175 Text en © 2020 Elsevier Inc. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
spellingShingle Computer Science
Hawas, Mohamed
Generated time-series prediction data of COVID-19′s daily infections in Brazil by using recurrent neural networks
title Generated time-series prediction data of COVID-19′s daily infections in Brazil by using recurrent neural networks
title_full Generated time-series prediction data of COVID-19′s daily infections in Brazil by using recurrent neural networks
title_fullStr Generated time-series prediction data of COVID-19′s daily infections in Brazil by using recurrent neural networks
title_full_unstemmed Generated time-series prediction data of COVID-19′s daily infections in Brazil by using recurrent neural networks
title_short Generated time-series prediction data of COVID-19′s daily infections in Brazil by using recurrent neural networks
title_sort generated time-series prediction data of covid-19′s daily infections in brazil by using recurrent neural networks
topic Computer Science
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7437445/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32839733
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2020.106175
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