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Heuristics and optimal solutions to the breadth–depth dilemma
In multialternative risky choice, we are often faced with the opportunity to allocate our limited information-gathering capacity between several options before receiving feedback. In such cases, we face a natural trade-off between breadth—spreading our capacity across many options—and depth—gaining...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
National Academy of Sciences
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7443877/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32759219 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2004929117 |
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author | Moreno-Bote, Rubén Ramírez-Ruiz, Jorge Drugowitsch, Jan Hayden, Benjamin Y. |
author_facet | Moreno-Bote, Rubén Ramírez-Ruiz, Jorge Drugowitsch, Jan Hayden, Benjamin Y. |
author_sort | Moreno-Bote, Rubén |
collection | PubMed |
description | In multialternative risky choice, we are often faced with the opportunity to allocate our limited information-gathering capacity between several options before receiving feedback. In such cases, we face a natural trade-off between breadth—spreading our capacity across many options—and depth—gaining more information about a smaller number of options. Despite its broad relevance to daily life, including in many naturalistic foraging situations, the optimal strategy in the breadth–depth trade-off has not been delineated. Here, we formalize the breadth–depth dilemma through a finite-sample capacity model. We find that, if capacity is small (∼10 samples), it is optimal to draw one sample per alternative, favoring breadth. However, for larger capacities, a sharp transition is observed, and it becomes best to deeply sample a very small fraction of alternatives, which roughly decreases with the square root of capacity. Thus, ignoring most options, even when capacity is large enough to shallowly sample all of them, is a signature of optimal behavior. Our results also provide a rich casuistic for metareasoning in multialternative decisions with bounded capacity using close-to-optimal heuristics. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7443877 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | National Academy of Sciences |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-74438772020-09-01 Heuristics and optimal solutions to the breadth–depth dilemma Moreno-Bote, Rubén Ramírez-Ruiz, Jorge Drugowitsch, Jan Hayden, Benjamin Y. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Social Sciences In multialternative risky choice, we are often faced with the opportunity to allocate our limited information-gathering capacity between several options before receiving feedback. In such cases, we face a natural trade-off between breadth—spreading our capacity across many options—and depth—gaining more information about a smaller number of options. Despite its broad relevance to daily life, including in many naturalistic foraging situations, the optimal strategy in the breadth–depth trade-off has not been delineated. Here, we formalize the breadth–depth dilemma through a finite-sample capacity model. We find that, if capacity is small (∼10 samples), it is optimal to draw one sample per alternative, favoring breadth. However, for larger capacities, a sharp transition is observed, and it becomes best to deeply sample a very small fraction of alternatives, which roughly decreases with the square root of capacity. Thus, ignoring most options, even when capacity is large enough to shallowly sample all of them, is a signature of optimal behavior. Our results also provide a rich casuistic for metareasoning in multialternative decisions with bounded capacity using close-to-optimal heuristics. National Academy of Sciences 2020-08-18 2020-08-05 /pmc/articles/PMC7443877/ /pubmed/32759219 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2004929117 Text en Copyright © 2020 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Social Sciences Moreno-Bote, Rubén Ramírez-Ruiz, Jorge Drugowitsch, Jan Hayden, Benjamin Y. Heuristics and optimal solutions to the breadth–depth dilemma |
title | Heuristics and optimal solutions to the breadth–depth dilemma |
title_full | Heuristics and optimal solutions to the breadth–depth dilemma |
title_fullStr | Heuristics and optimal solutions to the breadth–depth dilemma |
title_full_unstemmed | Heuristics and optimal solutions to the breadth–depth dilemma |
title_short | Heuristics and optimal solutions to the breadth–depth dilemma |
title_sort | heuristics and optimal solutions to the breadth–depth dilemma |
topic | Social Sciences |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7443877/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32759219 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2004929117 |
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