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Early analysis of the Australian COVID-19 epidemic
As of 1 May 2020, there had been 6808 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. Of these, 98 had died from the disease. The epidemic had been in decline since mid-March, with 308 cases confirmed nationally since 14 April. This suggests that the collective actions of the Australian public and governm...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7449695/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32788039 http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.58785 |
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author | Price, David J Shearer, Freya M Meehan, Michael T McBryde, Emma Moss, Robert Golding, Nick Conway, Eamon J Dawson, Peter Cromer, Deborah Wood, James Abbott, Sam McVernon, Jodie McCaw, James M |
author_facet | Price, David J Shearer, Freya M Meehan, Michael T McBryde, Emma Moss, Robert Golding, Nick Conway, Eamon J Dawson, Peter Cromer, Deborah Wood, James Abbott, Sam McVernon, Jodie McCaw, James M |
author_sort | Price, David J |
collection | PubMed |
description | As of 1 May 2020, there had been 6808 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. Of these, 98 had died from the disease. The epidemic had been in decline since mid-March, with 308 cases confirmed nationally since 14 April. This suggests that the collective actions of the Australian public and government authorities in response to COVID-19 were sufficiently early and assiduous to avert a public health crisis – for now. Analysing factors that contribute to individual country experiences of COVID-19, such as the intensity and timing of public health interventions, will assist in the next stage of response planning globally. We describe how the epidemic and public health response unfolded in Australia up to 13 April. We estimate that the effective reproduction number was likely below one in each Australian state since mid-March and forecast that clinical demand would remain below capacity thresholds over the forecast period (from mid-to-late April). |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7449695 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-74496952020-08-27 Early analysis of the Australian COVID-19 epidemic Price, David J Shearer, Freya M Meehan, Michael T McBryde, Emma Moss, Robert Golding, Nick Conway, Eamon J Dawson, Peter Cromer, Deborah Wood, James Abbott, Sam McVernon, Jodie McCaw, James M eLife Epidemiology and Global Health As of 1 May 2020, there had been 6808 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. Of these, 98 had died from the disease. The epidemic had been in decline since mid-March, with 308 cases confirmed nationally since 14 April. This suggests that the collective actions of the Australian public and government authorities in response to COVID-19 were sufficiently early and assiduous to avert a public health crisis – for now. Analysing factors that contribute to individual country experiences of COVID-19, such as the intensity and timing of public health interventions, will assist in the next stage of response planning globally. We describe how the epidemic and public health response unfolded in Australia up to 13 April. We estimate that the effective reproduction number was likely below one in each Australian state since mid-March and forecast that clinical demand would remain below capacity thresholds over the forecast period (from mid-to-late April). eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd 2020-08-13 /pmc/articles/PMC7449695/ /pubmed/32788039 http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.58785 Text en © 2020, Price et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use and redistribution provided that the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Epidemiology and Global Health Price, David J Shearer, Freya M Meehan, Michael T McBryde, Emma Moss, Robert Golding, Nick Conway, Eamon J Dawson, Peter Cromer, Deborah Wood, James Abbott, Sam McVernon, Jodie McCaw, James M Early analysis of the Australian COVID-19 epidemic |
title | Early analysis of the Australian COVID-19 epidemic |
title_full | Early analysis of the Australian COVID-19 epidemic |
title_fullStr | Early analysis of the Australian COVID-19 epidemic |
title_full_unstemmed | Early analysis of the Australian COVID-19 epidemic |
title_short | Early analysis of the Australian COVID-19 epidemic |
title_sort | early analysis of the australian covid-19 epidemic |
topic | Epidemiology and Global Health |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7449695/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32788039 http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.58785 |
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