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Replicating and projecting the path of COVID-19 with a model-implied reproduction number

We demonstrate a methodology for replicating and projecting the path of COVID-19 using a simple epidemiology model. We fit the model to daily data on the number of infected cases in China, Italy, the United States, and Brazil. These four countries can be viewed as representing different stages, from...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Buckman, Shelby R., Glick, Reuven, Lansing, Kevin J., Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas, Seitelman, Lily M.
Formato:	Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	KeAi Publishing 2020
Materias:	Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission; Edited by Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Prof. Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Prof. Ping Yan, Prof. Jianhong Wu
Acceso en línea:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7453227/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32875176 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.08.007

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