Industrial Energy-Related CO(2) Emissions and Their Driving Factors in the Yangtze River Economic Zone (China): An Extended LMDI Analysis from 2008 to 2016

As the world’s largest developing country in the world, China consumes a large amount of fossil fuels and this leads to a significant increase in industrial energy-related CO(2) emissions (IECEs). The Yangtze River Economic Zone (YREZ), accounting for 21.4% of the total area of China, generates more than 40% of the total national gross domestic product and is an important component of the IECEs from China. However, little is known about the changes in the IECEs and their influencing factors in this area during the past decade. In this study, IECEs were calculated and their influencing factors were delineated based on an extended logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) model by introducing technological factors in the YREZ during 2008–2016. The following conclusions could be drawn from the results. (1) Jiangsu and Hubei were the leading and the second largest IECEs emitters, respectively. The contribution of the cumulative increment of IECEs was the strongest in Jiangsu, followed by Anhui, Jiangxi and Hunan. (2) On the whole, both the energy intensity and R&D efficiency play a dominant role in suppressing IECEs; the economic output and investment intensity exert the most prominent effect on promoting IECEs, while there were great differences among the major driving factors in sub-regions. Energy structure, industrial structure and R&D intensity play less important roles in the IECEs, especially in the central and western regions. (3) The year of 2012 was an important turning point when nearly half of these provinces showed a change in the increment of IECEs from positive to negative values, which was jointly caused by weakening economic activity and reinforced inhibitory of energy intensity and R&D intensity.