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The scale of COVID‐19 graphs affects understanding, attitudes, and policy preferences

Mass media routinely present data on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) diffusion with graphs that use either a log scale or a linear scale. We show that the choice of the scale adopted on these graphs has important consequences on how people understand and react to the information conveyed. In par...

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Autores principales: Romano, Alessandro, Sotis, Chiara, Dominioni, Goran, Guidi, Sebastián
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7461444/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32844495
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/hec.4143
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author Romano, Alessandro
Sotis, Chiara
Dominioni, Goran
Guidi, Sebastián
author_facet Romano, Alessandro
Sotis, Chiara
Dominioni, Goran
Guidi, Sebastián
author_sort Romano, Alessandro
collection PubMed
description Mass media routinely present data on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) diffusion with graphs that use either a log scale or a linear scale. We show that the choice of the scale adopted on these graphs has important consequences on how people understand and react to the information conveyed. In particular, we find that when we show the number of COVID‐19 related deaths on a logarithmic scale, people have a less accurate understanding of how the pandemic has developed, make less accurate predictions on its evolution, and have different policy preferences than when they are exposed to a linear scale. Consequently, merely changing the scale the data is presented on can alter public policy preferences and the level of worry about the pandemic, despite the fact that people are routinely exposed to COVID‐19 related information. Providing the public with information in ways they understand better can help improving the response to COVID‐19, thus, mass media and policymakers communicating to the general public should always describe the evolution of the pandemic using a graph on a linear scale, at least as a default option. Our results suggest that framing matters when communicating to the public.
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spelling pubmed-74614442020-09-02 The scale of COVID‐19 graphs affects understanding, attitudes, and policy preferences Romano, Alessandro Sotis, Chiara Dominioni, Goran Guidi, Sebastián Health Econ Health Economics Letters Mass media routinely present data on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) diffusion with graphs that use either a log scale or a linear scale. We show that the choice of the scale adopted on these graphs has important consequences on how people understand and react to the information conveyed. In particular, we find that when we show the number of COVID‐19 related deaths on a logarithmic scale, people have a less accurate understanding of how the pandemic has developed, make less accurate predictions on its evolution, and have different policy preferences than when they are exposed to a linear scale. Consequently, merely changing the scale the data is presented on can alter public policy preferences and the level of worry about the pandemic, despite the fact that people are routinely exposed to COVID‐19 related information. Providing the public with information in ways they understand better can help improving the response to COVID‐19, thus, mass media and policymakers communicating to the general public should always describe the evolution of the pandemic using a graph on a linear scale, at least as a default option. Our results suggest that framing matters when communicating to the public. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2020-08-25 2020-11 /pmc/articles/PMC7461444/ /pubmed/32844495 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/hec.4143 Text en © 2020 The Authors. Health Economics published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Health Economics Letters
Romano, Alessandro
Sotis, Chiara
Dominioni, Goran
Guidi, Sebastián
The scale of COVID‐19 graphs affects understanding, attitudes, and policy preferences
title The scale of COVID‐19 graphs affects understanding, attitudes, and policy preferences
title_full The scale of COVID‐19 graphs affects understanding, attitudes, and policy preferences
title_fullStr The scale of COVID‐19 graphs affects understanding, attitudes, and policy preferences
title_full_unstemmed The scale of COVID‐19 graphs affects understanding, attitudes, and policy preferences
title_short The scale of COVID‐19 graphs affects understanding, attitudes, and policy preferences
title_sort scale of covid‐19 graphs affects understanding, attitudes, and policy preferences
topic Health Economics Letters
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7461444/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32844495
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/hec.4143
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