A Radiomics Nomogram for the Preoperative Prediction of Lymph Node Metastasis in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

PURPOSE: To construct and verify a CT-based multidimensional nomogram for the evaluation of lymph node (LN) status in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively assessed data from 172 patients with clinicopathologically confirmed PDAC surgically resected between February 2014 and November 2016. Patients were assigned to either a training cohort (n = 121) or a validation cohort (n = 51). We acquired radiomics features from the preoperative venous phase (VP) CT images. The maximum relevance–minimum redundancy (mRMR) algorithm and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) methods were used to select the optimal features. We used multivariable logistic regression to construct a combined radiomics model for visualization in the form of a nomogram. Performance of the nomogram was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve approach, calibration testing, and analysis of clinical usefulness. RESULTS: A Rad score consisting of 10 LN status-related radiomics features was found to be significantly associated with the actual LN status (P < 0.01). A nomogram that consisted of Rad scores, CT-reported parenchymal atrophy, and CT-reported LN status performed well in terms of predictive power in the training cohort (area under the curve, 0.92), and this was confirmed in the validation cohort (area under the curve, 0.95). The nomogram also performed well in the calibration test and decision curve analysis, demonstrating its potential clinical value. CONCLUSION: A multidimensional radiomics nomogram consisting of Rad scores, CT-reported parenchymal atrophy, and CT-reported LN status may contribute to the non-invasive evaluation of LN status in PDAC patients.