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Impact of public and private sector external debt on economic growth: the case of Portugal

External debt may affect economic growth differently among countries. We assess the effect of the Portuguese external debt for the 1999–2019 period. Portugal had the highest net external debt among the founding members of the euro area. External debt was the main component of the international inves...

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Autor principal: Silva, Jorge
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7483064/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40822-020-00153-2
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author Silva, Jorge
author_facet Silva, Jorge
author_sort Silva, Jorge
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description External debt may affect economic growth differently among countries. We assess the effect of the Portuguese external debt for the 1999–2019 period. Portugal had the highest net external debt among the founding members of the euro area. External debt was the main component of the international investment position. We split external debt between public and private sectors due to the different conditions that exist when accessing external funding. Additionally, we use quarterly data and estimate how external debt determined variations in the channels of transmission through which external debt may affect economic growth. Only some channels were significantly affected by external debt: the private and public external debt increased public investment, and private external debt damaged private investment. Therefore, external debt was not allocated to positively and significantly increase economic growth. Additionally, financial integration in the euro area and financial stress in Europe affected some channels of transmission. It would be advisable to reduce external debt through a positive current account, to assign external debt to tradable sectors that will obtain a higher return on investments, and to shift external funding from debt instruments to equity ones.
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spelling pubmed-74830642020-09-11 Impact of public and private sector external debt on economic growth: the case of Portugal Silva, Jorge Eurasian Econ Rev Original Paper External debt may affect economic growth differently among countries. We assess the effect of the Portuguese external debt for the 1999–2019 period. Portugal had the highest net external debt among the founding members of the euro area. External debt was the main component of the international investment position. We split external debt between public and private sectors due to the different conditions that exist when accessing external funding. Additionally, we use quarterly data and estimate how external debt determined variations in the channels of transmission through which external debt may affect economic growth. Only some channels were significantly affected by external debt: the private and public external debt increased public investment, and private external debt damaged private investment. Therefore, external debt was not allocated to positively and significantly increase economic growth. Additionally, financial integration in the euro area and financial stress in Europe affected some channels of transmission. It would be advisable to reduce external debt through a positive current account, to assign external debt to tradable sectors that will obtain a higher return on investments, and to shift external funding from debt instruments to equity ones. Springer International Publishing 2020-09-10 2020 /pmc/articles/PMC7483064/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40822-020-00153-2 Text en © Eurasia Business and Economics Society 2020 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Original Paper
Silva, Jorge
Impact of public and private sector external debt on economic growth: the case of Portugal
title Impact of public and private sector external debt on economic growth: the case of Portugal
title_full Impact of public and private sector external debt on economic growth: the case of Portugal
title_fullStr Impact of public and private sector external debt on economic growth: the case of Portugal
title_full_unstemmed Impact of public and private sector external debt on economic growth: the case of Portugal
title_short Impact of public and private sector external debt on economic growth: the case of Portugal
title_sort impact of public and private sector external debt on economic growth: the case of portugal
topic Original Paper
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7483064/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40822-020-00153-2
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