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COVID-19 outbreak and beyond: the information content of registered short-time workers for GDP now- and forecasting

The number of short-time workers from January to April 2020 is used to now- and forecast quarterly GDP growth. We purge the monthly log level series from the systematic component to extract unexpected changes or shocks to log short-time workers. These monthly shocks are included in a univariate mode...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Kaufmann, Sylvia
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7484615/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32934939
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41937-020-00053-x