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Comment on “Estimation of COVID-19 dynamics “on a back-of-envelope”: Does the simplest SIR model provide quantitative parameters and predictions?”

This comment shows that data regarding cumulative confirmed cases from the coronavirus COVID-19 disease outbreak, in the period December 31, 2019–June 29, 2020 of some countries reported by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, can be adjusted by the exact solution of the Kermack –...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Rojas, S.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Author. Published by Elsevier Ltd. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7487154/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.csfx.2020.100047
Descripción
Sumario:This comment shows that data regarding cumulative confirmed cases from the coronavirus COVID-19 disease outbreak, in the period December 31, 2019–June 29, 2020 of some countries reported by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, can be adjusted by the exact solution of the Kermack – McKendrick approximation of the SIR epidemiological model.