Policy Implications for the COVID-19 Pandemic in Light of Most Patients (≥72%) Spending at Most One Night at the Hospital After Elective, Major Therapeutic Procedures

A large number of inpatients with Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in some regions of the United States may interfere with the ability of hospitals to take care of patients requiring treatment for other conditions. Nonetheless, many patients need surgery to improve their quality of life and to prevent deterioration in health. Curtailment of services also negatively affects the financial health of hospitals and health systems. Broad policies to prohibit all “elective” surgical procedures to ensure that there is sufficient hospital capacity for pandemic patients may be unnecessarily restrictive because, for many such procedures, patients are rarely admitted following surgery or only stay overnight. We studied all elective inpatient and ambulatory cases involving major therapeutic procedures performed in the state of Florida in 2018. We mapped the primary procedure to the corresponding Clinical Classification Software (CCS) category. We determined the distributions of lengths of stay overall and as stratified by CCS category, then calculated the percentage of cases that had a hospital length of stay of ≤1 night (i.e., 0 or 1 day). A threshold of one night was selected because patients discharged home on the day of surgery have no effect on the inpatient census, and those staying overnight would either have a transient effect or no effect if observed overnight in the postoperative care unit. Among the 1,852,391 elective cases with one or more major therapeutic procedures, 65.2% (95% lower confidence limit [LCL] = 65.1%) of cases had a length of stay of 0 days and 72.9% (95% LCL = 72.8%) had stay ≤1 day. There were 38 different CCS categories for which at least 95% of patients had a length of stay of ≤1 day. There were 28 CCS codes that identified 80% of the patients who were discharged with a length of stay ≤1 day, showing representation of multiple surgical specialties. Our results show that even in the face of constraints imposed by a high hospital census, many categories of major therapeutic elective procedures could be performed without necessarily compromising hospital capacity. Most patients will be discharged on the day of surgery. If overnight admission is required, there would be an option to care for them in the postanesthesia care unit, thus not affecting the census. Thus, policies can reasonably be based on allowing cases with a substantial probability of at most an overnight stay rather than a blanket ban on “elective” surgery or creating a carve-out for specified surgical subspecialties. Such policies would apply to at least 72% of elective, major therapeutic surgical procedures.