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Climatic variability at Gangtok and Tadong weather observatories in Sikkim, India, during 1961–2017

The present study documents the long-term trends in the temperature and precipitation of a poorly represented region, the Sikkim, eastern Himalaya using the Mann–Kendall non-parametric test and the Sen’s slope estimator. Additionally, the normal distribution curves and Cusum charts have been used to...

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Autores principales: Kumar, Parvendra, Sharma, Milap Chand, Saini, Rakesh, Singh, Girish Kumar
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7494871/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32938945
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-71163-y
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author Kumar, Parvendra
Sharma, Milap Chand
Saini, Rakesh
Singh, Girish Kumar
author_facet Kumar, Parvendra
Sharma, Milap Chand
Saini, Rakesh
Singh, Girish Kumar
author_sort Kumar, Parvendra
collection PubMed
description The present study documents the long-term trends in the temperature and precipitation of a poorly represented region, the Sikkim, eastern Himalaya using the Mann–Kendall non-parametric test and the Sen’s slope estimator. Additionally, the normal distribution curves and Cusum charts have been used to identify the shifts in extreme events and to detect the points of change in the climatic data series for robust analysis. The minimum temperatures recorded a positive trend in Gangtok (0.036 ˚C year−(1) from 1961 to 2017) as well as in Tadong (0.065 ˚C year−(1) from 1981 to 2010) stations, while the maximum temperatures showed no trend in Tadong station from 1981 to 2010 which is consistent with the trend in Gangtok station for the overlapped period. However, it was negative for the overall assessed period (− 0.027 ˚C year−(1) from 1961 to 2017) in Gangtok. The average temperatures in Gangtok recorded no trend whereas a positive trend (0.035 ˚C year−(1) from 1981 to 2010) was observed at Tadong station. A similar positive trend in the average temperatures has been detected at Gangtok also for the overlapped period. Accelerated warming was noticed during the last two decades with an increase in the probability of extreme events of temperatures (minimum, maximum, average) at the higher end. Precipitation was found to be more variable across the observed period and suggested no trend in the study area.
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spelling pubmed-74948712020-09-18 Climatic variability at Gangtok and Tadong weather observatories in Sikkim, India, during 1961–2017 Kumar, Parvendra Sharma, Milap Chand Saini, Rakesh Singh, Girish Kumar Sci Rep Article The present study documents the long-term trends in the temperature and precipitation of a poorly represented region, the Sikkim, eastern Himalaya using the Mann–Kendall non-parametric test and the Sen’s slope estimator. Additionally, the normal distribution curves and Cusum charts have been used to identify the shifts in extreme events and to detect the points of change in the climatic data series for robust analysis. The minimum temperatures recorded a positive trend in Gangtok (0.036 ˚C year−(1) from 1961 to 2017) as well as in Tadong (0.065 ˚C year−(1) from 1981 to 2010) stations, while the maximum temperatures showed no trend in Tadong station from 1981 to 2010 which is consistent with the trend in Gangtok station for the overlapped period. However, it was negative for the overall assessed period (− 0.027 ˚C year−(1) from 1961 to 2017) in Gangtok. The average temperatures in Gangtok recorded no trend whereas a positive trend (0.035 ˚C year−(1) from 1981 to 2010) was observed at Tadong station. A similar positive trend in the average temperatures has been detected at Gangtok also for the overlapped period. Accelerated warming was noticed during the last two decades with an increase in the probability of extreme events of temperatures (minimum, maximum, average) at the higher end. Precipitation was found to be more variable across the observed period and suggested no trend in the study area. Nature Publishing Group UK 2020-09-16 /pmc/articles/PMC7494871/ /pubmed/32938945 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-71163-y Text en © The Author(s) 2020 Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Article
Kumar, Parvendra
Sharma, Milap Chand
Saini, Rakesh
Singh, Girish Kumar
Climatic variability at Gangtok and Tadong weather observatories in Sikkim, India, during 1961–2017
title Climatic variability at Gangtok and Tadong weather observatories in Sikkim, India, during 1961–2017
title_full Climatic variability at Gangtok and Tadong weather observatories in Sikkim, India, during 1961–2017
title_fullStr Climatic variability at Gangtok and Tadong weather observatories in Sikkim, India, during 1961–2017
title_full_unstemmed Climatic variability at Gangtok and Tadong weather observatories in Sikkim, India, during 1961–2017
title_short Climatic variability at Gangtok and Tadong weather observatories in Sikkim, India, during 1961–2017
title_sort climatic variability at gangtok and tadong weather observatories in sikkim, india, during 1961–2017
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7494871/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32938945
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-71163-y
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