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A non-homogeneous Markov early epidemic growth dynamics model. Application to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic
This work introduces a new markovian stochastic model that can be described as a non-homogeneous Pure Birth process. We propose a functional form of birth rate that depends on the number of individuals in the population and on the elapsed time, allowing us to model a contagion effect. Thus, we model...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
Elsevier Ltd.
2020
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7500902/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32982083 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110297 |