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On Possible Electromagnetic Precursors to a Significant Earthquake (Mw = 6.3) Occurred in Lesvos (Greece) on 12 June 2017

This paper reports an attempt to use ultra-low-frequency (ULF) magnetic field data from a space weather monitoring magnetometer array in the study of earthquake (EQ) precursors in Greece. The data from four magnetometer stations of the HellENIc GeoMagnetic Array (ENIGMA) have been analyzed in the se...

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Autores principales: Potirakis, Stelios M., Schekotov, Alexander, Contoyiannis, Yiannis, Balasis, Georgios, Koulouras, Grigorios E., Melis, Nikolaos S., Boutsi, Adamantia Zoe, Hayakawa, Masashi, Eftaxias, Konstantinos, Nomicos, Constantinos
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7514723/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33266956
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e21030241
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author Potirakis, Stelios M.
Schekotov, Alexander
Contoyiannis, Yiannis
Balasis, Georgios
Koulouras, Grigorios E.
Melis, Nikolaos S.
Boutsi, Adamantia Zoe
Hayakawa, Masashi
Eftaxias, Konstantinos
Nomicos, Constantinos
author_facet Potirakis, Stelios M.
Schekotov, Alexander
Contoyiannis, Yiannis
Balasis, Georgios
Koulouras, Grigorios E.
Melis, Nikolaos S.
Boutsi, Adamantia Zoe
Hayakawa, Masashi
Eftaxias, Konstantinos
Nomicos, Constantinos
author_sort Potirakis, Stelios M.
collection PubMed
description This paper reports an attempt to use ultra-low-frequency (ULF) magnetic field data from a space weather monitoring magnetometer array in the study of earthquake (EQ) precursors in Greece. The data from four magnetometer stations of the HellENIc GeoMagnetic Array (ENIGMA) have been analyzed in the search for possible precursors to a strong EQ that occurred south of Lesvos Island on 12 June 2017, with magnitude Mw = 6.3 and focal depth = 12 km. The analysis includes conventional statistical methods, as well as criticality analysis, using two independent methods, the natural time (NT) method and the method of critical fluctuations (MCF). In terms of conventional statistical methods, it is found that the most convincing ULF precursor was observed in the data of ULF (20–30 mHz) depression (depression of the horizontal component of the magnetic field), which is indicative of lower ionospheric perturbation just 1 day before the EQ. Additionally, there are indications of a precursor in the direct ULF emission from the lithosphere 4 days to 1 day before the EQ. Further study in terms of NT analysis identifies criticality characteristics from 8 to 2 days before the EQ both for lithospheric ULF emission and ULF depression, while MCF reveals indications of criticality in all recorded magnetic field components, extending from 10 to 3 days before the EQ. Beyond the recordings of the geomagnetic stations of ENIGMA, the recordings of the fracto-electromagnetic emission stations of the HELlenic Seismo-ElectroMagnetics Network (ELSEM-Net) in Greece have been analyzed. The MHz recordings at the station that is located on Lesvos Island presented criticality characteristics (by means of both NT analysis and MCF) 11 days before the EQ, while a few days later (7–6 days before the EQ), the kHz recordings of the same station presented tricritical behavior. It is noted that the magnetosphere was quiet for a period of two weeks before the EQ and including its occurrence.
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spelling pubmed-75147232020-11-09 On Possible Electromagnetic Precursors to a Significant Earthquake (Mw = 6.3) Occurred in Lesvos (Greece) on 12 June 2017 Potirakis, Stelios M. Schekotov, Alexander Contoyiannis, Yiannis Balasis, Georgios Koulouras, Grigorios E. Melis, Nikolaos S. Boutsi, Adamantia Zoe Hayakawa, Masashi Eftaxias, Konstantinos Nomicos, Constantinos Entropy (Basel) Article This paper reports an attempt to use ultra-low-frequency (ULF) magnetic field data from a space weather monitoring magnetometer array in the study of earthquake (EQ) precursors in Greece. The data from four magnetometer stations of the HellENIc GeoMagnetic Array (ENIGMA) have been analyzed in the search for possible precursors to a strong EQ that occurred south of Lesvos Island on 12 June 2017, with magnitude Mw = 6.3 and focal depth = 12 km. The analysis includes conventional statistical methods, as well as criticality analysis, using two independent methods, the natural time (NT) method and the method of critical fluctuations (MCF). In terms of conventional statistical methods, it is found that the most convincing ULF precursor was observed in the data of ULF (20–30 mHz) depression (depression of the horizontal component of the magnetic field), which is indicative of lower ionospheric perturbation just 1 day before the EQ. Additionally, there are indications of a precursor in the direct ULF emission from the lithosphere 4 days to 1 day before the EQ. Further study in terms of NT analysis identifies criticality characteristics from 8 to 2 days before the EQ both for lithospheric ULF emission and ULF depression, while MCF reveals indications of criticality in all recorded magnetic field components, extending from 10 to 3 days before the EQ. Beyond the recordings of the geomagnetic stations of ENIGMA, the recordings of the fracto-electromagnetic emission stations of the HELlenic Seismo-ElectroMagnetics Network (ELSEM-Net) in Greece have been analyzed. The MHz recordings at the station that is located on Lesvos Island presented criticality characteristics (by means of both NT analysis and MCF) 11 days before the EQ, while a few days later (7–6 days before the EQ), the kHz recordings of the same station presented tricritical behavior. It is noted that the magnetosphere was quiet for a period of two weeks before the EQ and including its occurrence. MDPI 2019-03-02 /pmc/articles/PMC7514723/ /pubmed/33266956 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e21030241 Text en © 2019 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Potirakis, Stelios M.
Schekotov, Alexander
Contoyiannis, Yiannis
Balasis, Georgios
Koulouras, Grigorios E.
Melis, Nikolaos S.
Boutsi, Adamantia Zoe
Hayakawa, Masashi
Eftaxias, Konstantinos
Nomicos, Constantinos
On Possible Electromagnetic Precursors to a Significant Earthquake (Mw = 6.3) Occurred in Lesvos (Greece) on 12 June 2017
title On Possible Electromagnetic Precursors to a Significant Earthquake (Mw = 6.3) Occurred in Lesvos (Greece) on 12 June 2017
title_full On Possible Electromagnetic Precursors to a Significant Earthquake (Mw = 6.3) Occurred in Lesvos (Greece) on 12 June 2017
title_fullStr On Possible Electromagnetic Precursors to a Significant Earthquake (Mw = 6.3) Occurred in Lesvos (Greece) on 12 June 2017
title_full_unstemmed On Possible Electromagnetic Precursors to a Significant Earthquake (Mw = 6.3) Occurred in Lesvos (Greece) on 12 June 2017
title_short On Possible Electromagnetic Precursors to a Significant Earthquake (Mw = 6.3) Occurred in Lesvos (Greece) on 12 June 2017
title_sort on possible electromagnetic precursors to a significant earthquake (mw = 6.3) occurred in lesvos (greece) on 12 june 2017
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7514723/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33266956
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e21030241
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