Risk Factors for Mortality in Patients with Aortoesophageal Fistula Related to Aortic Lesions

OBJECTIVE: Aortoesophageal fistula (AEF) related to aortic aneurysm and dissection is an uncommon but life-threatening condition. We performed a systematic review of risk factors for mortality and factors associated with the prognosis of AEF. METHODS: A systematic search of the PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases was performed. Clinical characteristics, diagnostic methods, and treatments were assessed in terms of their ability to predict mortality. RESULTS: The systematic review identified 184 eligible articles including 219 patients with AEF. Multivariable Cox regression revealed positive correlations of hemorrhagic shock (hazard ratio (HR): 1.824, 95% CI: 1.217-2.735, P = 0.004), sepsis (HR: 1.714, 95% CI: 1.112-2.641, P = 0.015), multiorgan failure (HR: 3.060, 95% CI: 1.470-6.368, P = 0.003), and conservative treatment (HR: 5.257, 95% CI: 3.405-8.116, P < 0.001) with mortality and a negative correlation between combination therapy (aortic graft replacement and esophagectomy) and mortality (HR: 0.319, 95% CI: 0.125-0.813, P = 0.017). Kaplan–Meier survival analysis showed that the 1-year cumulative survival rate was 42.5 ± 3.8%. The overall fistula-related mortality rate was 47.0% (103/219). The most common causes of death were bleeding (54.9%) and infection (29.2%). CONCLUSIONS: We found that hemorrhagic shock, sepsis, and multiorgan failure were risk factors for death in patients with AEF. Additionally, conservative treatment was associated with a higher rate of mortality, while combined aortic graft replacement and esophagectomy improved the prognosis.