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A time-delayed SVEIR model for imperfect vaccine with a generalized nonmonotone incidence and application to measles

In this paper, we investigate the effects of the latent period on the dynamics of infectious disease with an imperfect vaccine. We assume a general incidence rate function with a non-monotonicity property to interpret the psychological effect in the susceptible population when the number of infectio...

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Autor principal: Al-Darabsah, Isam
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Inc. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7527832/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33020678
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2020.08.084
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author Al-Darabsah, Isam
author_facet Al-Darabsah, Isam
author_sort Al-Darabsah, Isam
collection PubMed
description In this paper, we investigate the effects of the latent period on the dynamics of infectious disease with an imperfect vaccine. We assume a general incidence rate function with a non-monotonicity property to interpret the psychological effect in the susceptible population when the number of infectious individuals increases. After we propose the model, we provide the well-posedness property by verifying the non-negativity and boundedness of the models solutions. Then, we calculate the effective reproduction number [Formula: see text]. The threshold dynamics of the system is obtained with respect to [Formula: see text]. We discuss the global stability of the disease-free equilibrium when [Formula: see text] and explore the system persistence when [Formula: see text]. Moreover, we prove the coexistence of an endemic equilibrium when the system persists. Then, we discuss the critical vaccination coverage rate that is required to eliminate the disease. Numerical simulations are provided to: (i) implement a case study regarding the measles disease transmission in the United States from 1963 to 2016; (ii) study the local and global sensitivity of [Formula: see text] with respect to the model parameters; (iii) discuss the stability of endemic equilibrium; and (iv) explore the sensitivity of the proposed model solutions with respect to the main parameters.
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spelling pubmed-75278322020-10-01 A time-delayed SVEIR model for imperfect vaccine with a generalized nonmonotone incidence and application to measles Al-Darabsah, Isam Appl Math Model Article In this paper, we investigate the effects of the latent period on the dynamics of infectious disease with an imperfect vaccine. We assume a general incidence rate function with a non-monotonicity property to interpret the psychological effect in the susceptible population when the number of infectious individuals increases. After we propose the model, we provide the well-posedness property by verifying the non-negativity and boundedness of the models solutions. Then, we calculate the effective reproduction number [Formula: see text]. The threshold dynamics of the system is obtained with respect to [Formula: see text]. We discuss the global stability of the disease-free equilibrium when [Formula: see text] and explore the system persistence when [Formula: see text]. Moreover, we prove the coexistence of an endemic equilibrium when the system persists. Then, we discuss the critical vaccination coverage rate that is required to eliminate the disease. Numerical simulations are provided to: (i) implement a case study regarding the measles disease transmission in the United States from 1963 to 2016; (ii) study the local and global sensitivity of [Formula: see text] with respect to the model parameters; (iii) discuss the stability of endemic equilibrium; and (iv) explore the sensitivity of the proposed model solutions with respect to the main parameters. Elsevier Inc. 2021-03 2020-10-01 /pmc/articles/PMC7527832/ /pubmed/33020678 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2020.08.084 Text en © 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Al-Darabsah, Isam
A time-delayed SVEIR model for imperfect vaccine with a generalized nonmonotone incidence and application to measles
title A time-delayed SVEIR model for imperfect vaccine with a generalized nonmonotone incidence and application to measles
title_full A time-delayed SVEIR model for imperfect vaccine with a generalized nonmonotone incidence and application to measles
title_fullStr A time-delayed SVEIR model for imperfect vaccine with a generalized nonmonotone incidence and application to measles
title_full_unstemmed A time-delayed SVEIR model for imperfect vaccine with a generalized nonmonotone incidence and application to measles
title_short A time-delayed SVEIR model for imperfect vaccine with a generalized nonmonotone incidence and application to measles
title_sort time-delayed sveir model for imperfect vaccine with a generalized nonmonotone incidence and application to measles
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7527832/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33020678
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2020.08.084
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