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COVID-19 lockdown and its latency in Northern Italy: seismic evidence and socio-economic interpretation

The Italian Government has decreed a series of progressive restrictions to delay the COVID-19 pandemic diffusion in Italy since March 10, 2020, including limitation in individual mobility and the closure of social, cultural, economic and industrial activities. Here we show the lockdown effect in Nor...

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Autores principales: Piccinini, Davide, Giunchi, Carlo, Olivieri, Marco, Frattini, Federico, Di Giovanni, Matteo, Prodi, Giorgio, Chiarabba, Claudio
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7536181/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33020508
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-73102-3
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author Piccinini, Davide
Giunchi, Carlo
Olivieri, Marco
Frattini, Federico
Di Giovanni, Matteo
Prodi, Giorgio
Chiarabba, Claudio
author_facet Piccinini, Davide
Giunchi, Carlo
Olivieri, Marco
Frattini, Federico
Di Giovanni, Matteo
Prodi, Giorgio
Chiarabba, Claudio
author_sort Piccinini, Davide
collection PubMed
description The Italian Government has decreed a series of progressive restrictions to delay the COVID-19 pandemic diffusion in Italy since March 10, 2020, including limitation in individual mobility and the closure of social, cultural, economic and industrial activities. Here we show the lockdown effect in Northern Italy, the COVID-19 most affected area, as revealed by noise variation at seismic stations. The reaction to lockdown was slow and not homogeneous with spots of negligible noise reduction, especially in the first week. A fresh interpretation of seismic noise variations in terms of socio-economic indicators sheds new light on the lockdown efficacy pointing to the causes of such delay: the noise reduction is significant where non strategic activities prevails, while it is small or negligible where dense population and strategic activities are present. These results are crucial for the a posteriori interpretation of the pandemic diffusion and the efficacy of differently targeted political actions.
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spelling pubmed-75361812020-10-06 COVID-19 lockdown and its latency in Northern Italy: seismic evidence and socio-economic interpretation Piccinini, Davide Giunchi, Carlo Olivieri, Marco Frattini, Federico Di Giovanni, Matteo Prodi, Giorgio Chiarabba, Claudio Sci Rep Article The Italian Government has decreed a series of progressive restrictions to delay the COVID-19 pandemic diffusion in Italy since March 10, 2020, including limitation in individual mobility and the closure of social, cultural, economic and industrial activities. Here we show the lockdown effect in Northern Italy, the COVID-19 most affected area, as revealed by noise variation at seismic stations. The reaction to lockdown was slow and not homogeneous with spots of negligible noise reduction, especially in the first week. A fresh interpretation of seismic noise variations in terms of socio-economic indicators sheds new light on the lockdown efficacy pointing to the causes of such delay: the noise reduction is significant where non strategic activities prevails, while it is small or negligible where dense population and strategic activities are present. These results are crucial for the a posteriori interpretation of the pandemic diffusion and the efficacy of differently targeted political actions. Nature Publishing Group UK 2020-10-05 /pmc/articles/PMC7536181/ /pubmed/33020508 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-73102-3 Text en © The Author(s) 2020 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Article
Piccinini, Davide
Giunchi, Carlo
Olivieri, Marco
Frattini, Federico
Di Giovanni, Matteo
Prodi, Giorgio
Chiarabba, Claudio
COVID-19 lockdown and its latency in Northern Italy: seismic evidence and socio-economic interpretation
title COVID-19 lockdown and its latency in Northern Italy: seismic evidence and socio-economic interpretation
title_full COVID-19 lockdown and its latency in Northern Italy: seismic evidence and socio-economic interpretation
title_fullStr COVID-19 lockdown and its latency in Northern Italy: seismic evidence and socio-economic interpretation
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 lockdown and its latency in Northern Italy: seismic evidence and socio-economic interpretation
title_short COVID-19 lockdown and its latency in Northern Italy: seismic evidence and socio-economic interpretation
title_sort covid-19 lockdown and its latency in northern italy: seismic evidence and socio-economic interpretation
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7536181/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33020508
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-73102-3
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