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How to cope with uncertainty in COVID-19 times
This chapter answers the question of how to cope with uncertainty. The COVID-19 pandemic is used to illustrate how uncertain and dynamic information influences choices of individuals, groups, or societies. Providing examples of reliable sources of information and rate decisions of governments as a r...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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2021
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7562774/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-823523-2.00012-X |
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author | Raab, Markus |
author_facet | Raab, Markus |
author_sort | Raab, Markus |
collection | PubMed |
description | This chapter answers the question of how to cope with uncertainty. The COVID-19 pandemic is used to illustrate how uncertain and dynamic information influences choices of individuals, groups, or societies. Providing examples of reliable sources of information and rate decisions of governments as a reaction of growing infection rates allows the reader to make informed decisions under uncertainty. A major tenet of this chapter is that we need to understand risk, fight against base rate neglect, and train risk literacy to be prepared for unpreceded situations. A personal choice in such situations is easy to be evaluated in hindsight but to predict consequences of such choices using the most valid information and dynamic context a person finds itself in is needed to prepare for uncertainty. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7562774 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-75627742020-10-16 How to cope with uncertainty in COVID-19 times Raab, Markus Judgment, Decision-Making, and Embodied Choices Article This chapter answers the question of how to cope with uncertainty. The COVID-19 pandemic is used to illustrate how uncertain and dynamic information influences choices of individuals, groups, or societies. Providing examples of reliable sources of information and rate decisions of governments as a reaction of growing infection rates allows the reader to make informed decisions under uncertainty. A major tenet of this chapter is that we need to understand risk, fight against base rate neglect, and train risk literacy to be prepared for unpreceded situations. A personal choice in such situations is easy to be evaluated in hindsight but to predict consequences of such choices using the most valid information and dynamic context a person finds itself in is needed to prepare for uncertainty. 2021 2020-10-16 /pmc/articles/PMC7562774/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-823523-2.00012-X Text en Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Raab, Markus How to cope with uncertainty in COVID-19 times |
title | How to cope with uncertainty in COVID-19 times |
title_full | How to cope with uncertainty in COVID-19 times |
title_fullStr | How to cope with uncertainty in COVID-19 times |
title_full_unstemmed | How to cope with uncertainty in COVID-19 times |
title_short | How to cope with uncertainty in COVID-19 times |
title_sort | how to cope with uncertainty in covid-19 times |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7562774/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-823523-2.00012-X |
work_keys_str_mv | AT raabmarkus howtocopewithuncertaintyincovid19times |